Sunday, November 23, 2014

THE DAMS OF NORTHERN SUDAN

M. Jalal Hashim
© 2009 Khartoum, Sudan
I.          INTRODUCTION
In 2005, immediately after signing the Naivacha Agreement between the Government of the Sudan and the Sudan People Liberation Movement (SPLM), the National Congress Party (NCP) held its general congress where the former minister of Finance, Abdul Rahim Hamdi, presented a paper in which he revealed a demographic triangle that was drawn by the regime in its early years that comprises roughly the middle of the Sudan under the claim that this is what will remain after the disintegration of the Sudan with southern region, Darfur and other areas breaking away; hence the Hamd’s Triangle[1]. This report has given birth to the policy of Demographic Re-engineering, upon which areas lying outside this triangle were to be quickly Arabized by, 1, resettling the African ethnic groups deep inside the triangle, a matter will eventually lead them to be completely Arabized, and 2, by a new Arab population injection from outside the Sudan. In fact the government of the Sudan started implementing this scheme in Darfur years before the signing of Niavacha Agreement (in 1994), where Arab tribes from over Chad were welcomed into the country. Without addressing the issue of land grabbing that has taken place in Darfur, upon which the African ethnic groups have lost their lands, no peace is deemed possible. The Hamdi Triangle dates the time where the policy of Demographic Engineering has been implemented in other parts of the Sudan, such as Nuba Mountains (southern Kurdufan), eastern Sudan (the Gash and Tokar delta) and northern Sudanese Nubia, where at least two dams are being built on the Nile with the flooded areas planned to be evacuated[2].
In the case of Nuba Mountains the ICC indicted minister, Ahmad Hārūn, was appointed Governor of the State of Southern Kurdufan in 2009. Hārūn has been indicted by the ICC for alleged crimes against humanity in Darfur crisis; he was seen to have acted as the resident engineer of the policy of Demographic Engineering in Darfur that has lead to hundreds of thousands to be killed with at least 2 millions losing their lands and thus living in refugee camps. Although the Nuba Mountains had fought with SPLM against the Islamist regime of Khartoum, it is believed by many that it has not been addressed with due focus by Naivacha Agreement. The region has been the theatre of continuing clashes between the indigenous Nubians and their pastoralist Arab neighbours, the Baqqāra of Miseiryya Arab tribes, who have kept encroaching into the Nubians’ lands with evident support from the Khartoum government. With Hārūn appointed as Governor of this troubled region, it is expected that the scenario of Demographic Engineering that took place in Darfur is going to be repeated. In the case of the Beja people of eastern Sudan, it was announced lately that lands in the delta of al-gash and Tokar are being expropriated from the Beja under pretext of not being able to pay back loans they received from the Agriculture Bank, and then handed over to Egyptian companies.
In the case of Sudanese Nubian the Arab population injection will be brought this time from Egypt (Arab Egyptian peasants). The legalization for this Egyptian mass settlement in northern Sudan has already been provided by the signing of the Four Freedoms Agreement (2005) upon which citizens from both countries are free to move from one country to the other without obstruction; they are free to do business; to own lands; and to settle. In 2004 there were only 20.000 Egyptian people in the Sudan; now they are over 3 millions. They all entered Sudan without visa; however, Sudanese citizens below 50 years old (i.e. the productive age) still need visa to enter Egypt.
The Islamist Khartoum government is aware that these demographic upheavals will neither pass unnoticed by the concerned people nor will the international community let them get away with it. However, it is sure that it will take considerably long time for all this to take place. By then they aim to create new situations on the ground that no one can reverse, just as the case in Darfur[3].
More dams are also being built in other areas of northern Sudan. This damming of northern Sudan has a history; it was a top down process, contributed to development in Sudan and Egypt but had high cost on local population being displaced and who did not benefit in any way conceivable. It will trace this history that goes to the early years of the 20th century up to the present moment where a series of dam are being planned in the Sudan. The presidential-mandated Dams Implementation Unit (DIU) declared plans to construct more than 20 dams with five of them in northern Sudan; Mugrat, Dagash and al-Shireik Dams at the 5th cataract (affecting Rubatab tribe); Mirwi dam at the 4th cataract (has already affected all Manasir tribe and part of Shayqiyya tribe); Kajbar dam at the 3rd cataract (affecting the southern part of Mahas Nubians and the northern part of Dungula Nubians); and Dal dam at the 2nd cataract (affecting all Sukkout Nubians and the no Mahas Nubians). The damming of the river Nile in the Sudan is driven by the notion that hydropower is the cheapest and cleanest energy so far technology has come up with. Hydropower in the Sudan has a history of its own as there are four dams that had been built in the 20th century. Below is an overview of the dams with a look at issues of hydroelectricity in Sudan. I will try to paint a picture of the overall vision/politics.
The experience of Mirwi dam has clearly shown that the flooded areas will be evacuated in the same way that took place in the case of Aswan High Dam. Incidentally news broke out revealing plans that aim at bringing in millions of Egyptian peasants to settle in the areas evacuated by the indigenous groups. Such a plan of demographic engineering will naturally be implemented in collaboration with the Egyptian government; it was the Egyptian government who first engendered this plan in its own Nubian region. It seems that this is not the first time for the Khartoum government to adopt such a policy as it was implemented in Darfur leading to the crisis there. In the case of Darfur a whole Arab nomadic tribe from Chad was welcomed into the region. It was armed and supported by the Sudanese government to eventually wreak havoc in Darfur.[4]
This report has limitations to information gathering and methodology that can be summed up in the following two points. First; the information pertaining to dam building in the Sudan is becoming very difficult to access as the matter has been politicized more than ever. Nowadays writing about dams in the Sudanese press is officially censored. The affected people are not informed in many a case of the fact that a dam is going to be built in their area of homeland. They usually get information from secondary sources and rumours. This has made the information elicited from them not very telling about their situation and their respective reactions as they live in the dark.  Secondly; the report relies greatly on information dispatched by government officials in matters that seem indirectly related to dam building such as agriculture, irrigation, investment etc. In fact these information are directly related with the subject matter of dam building, but delivered to the press in a way that will make them look like not related to dams. This information method the report calls a tactic of obscurantism, i.e. to create confusion rather than clarity. The report piece-meals these information so as to draw the whole picture, which turns to be directly related to dam building.


A.   HISTORICAL NUBIANS AFFECTED BY DAMS IN NORTHERN SUDAN[5]

This Chapter will show that it is Egypt who will mostly benefit from the building of these series of dams in northern Sudan. In the past, Egypt used to veto any dam building on the Nile course south of its borders as that was seen as a direct threat to its water security. The Nile treaty when first signed in 1929 after completing the building of Sennar Dam to irrigate al-Gezira Scheme, made clear that riparian countries had to seek the approval of Egypt in case they wanted to build any dams upstream. Now Egypt supports building all these dams even though it might potentially threaten its share of water by evaporation. The settlement of Egyptian peasants in the flooded areas evacuated by those affected by dams is supported by the fact Egypt has long since started doing this in its Nubian region. The Khartoum governments have historically been lenient if not submissive when it came to Egypt. Although the present Islamist regime began posed in its early days as opposing to Egypt to the extent that it attempted to assassinate the President of Egypt, it has ended up being much more submissive than its predecessors.

1.       Egyptian Nubians

The construction of the High Dam in Aswan was completed, resulting in an area of 500 km along the Nile course (310 km in Egypt, 190 km in the Sudan) to be submerged under the reservoir. The reservoir, i.e. the lake, bears two names, 'Lake Nasser' in Egypt, and 'Lake Nubia' in the Sudan. This has lead to the resettlement of about 16500 Nubian families in Egypt (with a similar number of Nubian families on the Sudan side) away from their historical lands. In the case of Egyptian Nubians, the area resettlement was a barren place called Koum Ambo near Aswan. In the case of the Sudanese Nubians the area of resettlement was a place called Khashm al-Girba in middle-eastern Sudan, known to be of rainy autumn, contrary to the Saharan Nubian region. Thus the High dam of Aswan has literally resulted in the submerged area being completely de-populated. Since then the evacuated area has witnessed no development project. It is just in recent years that the Egyptian government started to re-populate the area so as to develop it.

2. Sudanese Nubians
The Nubians have been traumatized by the dams that were built on the Nile since 1902 when the first Aswan dam was constructed. Their trauma continued on all through the raising phases of it (1910, 1933) to the construction of the High dam in 1964. All this has prompted the Nubians of Dungula, Mahas, Sukkout to organize themselves to resist building any more dams. The Nubians of Halfa region that were affected by the High dam and long since have been resettled in the eastern Sudan joined their brethren in the fight against dam-building. The President announced that dams are not going to be built without the explicit consent of the people in the affected area. The exact maps showing the boundary of the areas to be affected by the dams of Mirwi, Kajbar and Dal were kept secret. However, rumours leaked from the DIU telling that the water reservoir of Kajbar dam will extend to 105km up the river to Dungula city; the water reservoir of Dal dam will extend to 65km up the river to a small village called Kid Urma, just 6 km down the dam of Kajbar. To curb for these wide spread rumours, the DIU began speaking about the areas to be affected, with every time increasing the size of the reservoir and submerged areas. As the policy of total de-population has been adopted in all these projects, it was decided that the people affected by Mirwi dam to be resettled in areas far from their historical homelands under the point of gun. To make it even worse, the government was so secretive about the project, totally ignoring to consult the concerned communities.

B.      STRATEGY FOR A GLOBAL MISSONARY SUDAN

1.       Pre-salvation revolution in Sudan

The successive governments of the independent Sudan have kept a low profile bearing. The swinging state between Arabism and Africanism was the reason behind this low profile. These governments were not keen to play any crucial role in the African sphere because of their Pan Arab orientation. They could not play any leading role in the Arab sphere because to the Arab states the recognition of the Arabism of Sudan was more or less a matter of convenience. The only way for the Sudan to assume any leading role in the Arab sphere was through the religion of Islam. This was realised when the Islamists assumed power in their coup d'état of 1989. 

2.       The Salvation regime

The pro-Arab Islamist movement that assumed power in 1989 shouldered the responsibility of correcting both the Arab and Islamic world. The banner of Islam gave them the confidence the previous governments lacked. Internally they began by policies aimed at social demographic re-shape of Sudanese people by establishing the ministry of Social Planning. The minister who headed that ministry was the Vice President Ali Osman Muhammad Taha. The ministry planned to form the believing nation. The launch for this project was the Jihadi years in Southern Sudan, Nuba Mountains, Ingassan mountains and lately Darfur.
Externally they began their Islamic missionary to correct the world by chanting Jihadi songs that threatened both America and the then communist Russia with ordeals from ordained by God. They provided haven and sponsorship for fanatical Islamists worldwide. To them the notion of patriotism was not religiously righteous. The true homeland of the Muslim should be restricted to the place of birth of one’s family or ancestors but rather any place where Islam is being righteously applied. Regionally they directed their attention to Egypt. In the early years of the Islamic government in the Sudan (1989-1995) the relationship with Egypt deteriorated and became very hostile. On 16/6/1995 the regime plotted the assassination attempt on the President of Egypt, Husni Mubarak who was on his way to attend the African summit in the Ethiopian capital Addis Ababa. To them, condoning to state sovereignty was heretic and the they would have never tolerated it if they could afford that.
By the turn of the century the Islamist regime of Sudan adopted policies toward befriending Egypt. By 2004 the relationship became very friendly with Egypt clearly having the upper hand. The reason for this was that Sudan wanted to build allies to support itself nationally, regionally and internationally. Egypt was ready to overlook the plot to assassinate its President if Sudan was also ready to pay the prize which was to allow her to expand into the Sudan politically, economically, and demographically so as to achieve water and food security. This was planned to take place by expanding into the northern part of the Sudan.

C.     THE EGYPTIAN DEMANDS ON THE SUDAN[6]

1.       Food security

Egypt has always been short of food. The Camp David agreement of 1979 provided Egypt with food donation from the USA. Since then Egypt has been subject to American pressure a matter that has caused it to lose its regional status as the strongest Arab nation and the spearhead of pan Arabism. To regain its regional and Pan Arab status of power Egypt began seeking ways to free itself from the American food bondage.

2.       New lands for agriculture and settlement

To free itself from wholly depending American wheat, Egypt had to cultivate its own food. The cultivated land in Egypt is very limited[7]. This meant that they have to grow their food either in other people’s lands, or to acquire new lands by expanding into northern Sudan where there are enough cultivable lands with climate convenient for growing wheat. This was also going to resolve Egypt’s chronic problem of population explosive increase which is being worsened by the scarcity of food. When the government of Sudanese Islamists approached Egypt to improve the bilateral relations, the latter immediately embarked on bargaining the Islamist regime with the following: to forgive the Islamist regime of the Sudan for the assassination plot and to provide it with political support internally, regionally and internationally if it will agree to help Egypt realize its long-dreamt emancipation from American food dependency. The Islamist regime agreed to that without any reserves. The two regimes of Khartoum and Cairo came up with an executive plan to implement what they agreed upon.

De-population of large areas as a result of building dams
The components of this policy go as follows: a/ building a series of dams in the northern Sudan so as to evacuate the region and resettling the affected people far away from their home villages; b/ resettlement of millions of Egyptian peasants in the areas evacuated as a result of building the dams.
Clandestine plans for the resettlement of millions of Egyptian peasants in Northern Sudan
The covert plans are indirectly revealed through a series of articles published by Sudanese writers, journalists and politicians in daily newspapers aimed at de-sensitizing the resettlement plan. A flow of pro-Egyptian, anti-Sudan newspaper articles began appearing regularly. They were all characteristic with particular discursive clauses, such as “the strategic demographic equilibrium” the Egyptians are assumed to realize in de-populated northern Sudan “the dire necessity for Egyptian public presence in northern Sudan”, and cynical allusions to the claimed to be “free and un-inhibited move of West Africans into the Sudan” into the Sudan. In August, 2009 in a newspaper interview the President Omer Hasan al-Bashir replied to the accusatory question that the government brought certain Arab tribes accused of forming the Janjaweed militias from Chad and settled them into Darfur, by denied the allegations adding that they came into the Sudan by their own as the boundaries of the Sudan are too big to be monitored by the government and that many foreign tribes form West Africa, such as the Fulani and Hausa[8]. This labeling of foreignness prompted the Fulani and Hausa to ransack both al-Gadarif and Kasala towns in eastern Sudan where they have bog population.
In a symposium held in Khartoum and sponsored by the Ahram Strategic Centre (the symposium was presided by an Egyptian journalist) and the Centre for Media Services (CMS, a media arm affiliated to Sudan Security organ) a Sudanese ambassador said: “The present integration has not gone beyond the bilateral relations. To have it [the true integration] the top priority should go to food security, agricultural integration and the expansion in wheat cultivation in the northern region of the Sudan so as to encourage the Egyptian peasant to cross the border into the northern region in order to achieve the structural demographic equilibrium, which lacks attractiveness with regard to the Arab countries, especially Egypt, while it is attractive to people of West Africa who knew their way to the Sudan since long ago”[9].
In a Newspaper article, Muhammad Sa'id Muhammad al-Hasan, who is fanatically pro-Egyptian, went further to claim that the Egyptian demographic re-population of the Nubian region is not only a necessity, but also a right[10]. In one of his Egypt-loving articles, which was published in a Sudanese Newspaper, he writes: “... the population inter-mix between the two parts of the Nile valley should take the first priority as it is necessary for the South [i.e. the Sudan] in the same way as it is a necessary for the North [i.e. Egypt]; it is the core of the integrative and unification process ... The acceleration of the 'Four Freedoms Agreement', especially the part that deals with facilitating the move of Egyptian peasants towards the southern part [of the valley, i.e. the northern part of the Sudan], will bring about a wide range of benefits in the Nile valley, not only on the level of agricultural produce and expansion and the creation of new productive areas, but also on the level of realizing demographic equilibrium. ... Thus we come to the role of Egypt in securing Sudan and bringing peace to it, and the reinstatement of the Joint Defence Treaty [signed with the May Regime (1969-1985) and nullified by the democratic rule (1985-1989)] ... As strategic necessity, it [Egypt] should restore its influence [in Sudan] and the Nile agreement along with the restoration of life and population density in the area of Old Halfa. During its rule of the Sudan, the British administration intentionally sent back home the Egyptians who worked in the Sudan, completely prohibiting their entry without a visa that was only granted to government officials. At the same time it opened the door for primitive immigration [sic] coming from neighbouring African countries ...”. The Egyptian government officials did not show any bashfulness or diplomacy when dealing with sensitive internal Sudanese issues. In a workshop held by the Middle East & African Studies Centre under the title of “Towards a National Strategy of Water in the Sudan” at l-Zubeir Muhammad Salih Hall, Khartoum, 2/9/2007, the Egyptian Ambassador went out of his way to attack the Sudanese who stood against building the dams in northern Sudan[11]. In a press conference held in Cairo the Egyptian minister of Investment (Mahmoud Mohyildin) commented on the Egyptian and Arab scrambling on the Sudan for investment by saying: “Investment in the Sudan is for the swift who first catches it up”[12].

Explicit plans for the resettlement of millions of Egyptian peasants in Northern Sudan
In late 2003 head news read that negotiations on highest levels with the Egyptian government had been made so as to facilitate the settlement of millions of Egyptian peasants, along with their families, in the triangle of the Nubian basin, Halfa-Dungula-Uwainat. The aim of this move is said, on one hand, to safeguard the Arab identity of Sudan against the growing awareness of Africanism in Sudan generally and among the Nubians in particular. On the other hand, it is said to serve a very cynical purpose; that is to help re-populate the Nubian region from which its people has kept moving away for the last half century.
The Sudanese delegation, which was backed by a Presidential mandate, was led by Islamo-Arabist Nubians, General-Brigadier Abdul Rahim Muhammad Husain (then Minister of Interior, presently Minister of Defense). A cover-up plan named “the Four Freedoms” which theoretically allows the Sudanese and the Egyptians as well to own agrarian lands and settle in both countries was officially declared. The cover-up plan has come out half cooked as both parties were too eager in their scrambling to create a de facto situation before the Nubians become aware of what was going on. There is no agrarian land to be owned by the Sudanese investors in Egypt. But there is land for the Egyptians in the Sudan.
On 31/03/2004 a mainsheet press release from the State Minister of Agriculture in Khartoum (Dr. al-Sadig Amara, an Arabist Nubian as well) revealed that 6.1 Millions of fedans in the triangle of Nubian basin had been sold to the Egyptians (investors and peasants) with long term leases, i.e. investment through settlement.[13] There is no mention of the Nubians in all these deals which seem like have been made overnight.

Online evidence
In official visits to Cairo, the two ministers mentioned above held meetings with Egyptian scholars and intellectuals who were sceptical about the viability of resettling millions of Egyptian peasants in the Sudan[14]. Such a scheme applied in Iraq a few years ago during the war against Iran resulted in physically eliminating the poor peasants immediately after the war ended. However the two flamboyant ministers chivalrously gave their solemn pledges reminding their audience that they are backed by a Presidential mandate.
The Minister of Defence went out of his way challenging his audience to bring forward their solutions about tackling the population explosion in Egypt if not by migrating to the vast areas of the sparsely populated northern Sudan. Furthermore, lamenting the fact that the Egyptian migration to the Sudan has significantly diminished in the late decades after independence, he drew the comparison that the migration from West Africa has steadily increased. The State Minister on his behalf lamented the hesitation of some Egyptian intellectuals and officials, urging them to expedite moving to the Nubian basin before [sic] other people move there[15].

3.       The Nile Water Treaty

First signed in 1929, it was reinstated in 1959 when Egypt decided to build the High dam of Aswan (completed in 1964). As signed between Sudan and Egypt only, understandably the treaty does not include any other riparian country, a matter that riparian countries are trying to change. Of the 85 billion cubic meters, Sudan’s share is 18 billion cubic meters, of which it consumes only about 14 billion cubic meters and the rest goes to Egypt. The remaining 4 million cubic meters also go to Egypt as a loan. Building Merowe dam (1.5 billion cubic meters of evaporation loss) plus Kajbar dam (1.7 billion cubic meters of evaporation loss) plus Dal dam (800 million cubic meters of evaporation loss), Sudan will end up having no water for any agricultural extensions. Building the other 4 dams downstream from Khartoum (al-Sabalouga, al-Shireik, Dagash, and Mugrat- see below III The Damming of Northern Sudan) in the same high hot tropical zone will mean that further evaporation losses will be at the expense of Egypt’s share of Nile water. This makes Egypt look like it is jeopardizing its own water security. However, this becomes understandable when bearing in mind the new lands Egypt is suppose to grab in northern Sudan plus safeguarding the Aswan High dam from sedimentation. Moreover, Egypt will have other gains that can be summed as follows: 1, Sudan, as a riparian country, will become redundant as it will not be able to claim any additional quantities of water. 2. The demands raised by other riparian countries to re-distribute the shares of the Nile water as there will be none of it to be re-distributed. 3. In the case of the separation of southern Sudan, the new state will have to settle deal with Egypt and not the Sudan so as to manage to increase the Nile water, i.e. by allowing Egypt to dig Jongeli canal.

4.       Arab scramble into the Sudan

The Arabization of northern region of the Sudan has not been confined to Arab population injection, but also had its economic aspects where other Arab countries across the sea have been involved. Since the signing of Four Freedoms Agreement between Sudan and Egypt in 2005, Egyptian labour has been pouring into Sudan under direct encouragement from the two governments and with a lot of economical incentives relating to taxe exemption and easy money transfer. In a matter of 2 years the Sudanese labour was out of market due to this policy. Most of these Sudanese labours came from Southern Sudan, Nuba Mountains, Darfur and Ingassana, i.e. from black African areas. Other Arab states began also scrambling on the Sudan to do business, with a host of development projects being secretly signed. Sudan has never been so submissive to either Egypt or the Arabs. In 2005 another Presidential Decree was issued (No. 206) upon which all the lands of northern Sudan (i.e. that lie in the State of the River Nile and of the North State) to be expropriated from the authority of the two respective state governments to fall under the authority of the DIU[16]. Since then the DIU started selling these lands to investors from various Arab states such as Saudi Arabia, the Emirates, Qatar, Jordan and Egypt. The land was used as investment bonds. While the Egyptian are aiming at settling into the northern part of the riverain Sudan, the Arabs, especially from the Gulf petroleum countries, are aiming at doing agricultural  investment. The million of fedans are not located close to the Nile as the nearest will be at least 30 km west of the Nile. This is the Nubian basin of Halfa-Dungula-Uwainat referred to above. About this basin the Arab Organization for Agricultural Development (AOAD) writes: “The capacity of this basin is 5500 million cubic meters with a total of 136 MCM feeds it (from Atbara and the Nile rivers). The feed-up increase when water starts to be pumped from it[17]. Pumping the water from its ground reservoirs in the basin is not expensive as the reservoirs, not withstanding that they go deep in the ground, they are close to the surface[18].

5.       Egyptian connection with dam-related de-population policies

The policies adopted by the Egyptian government with regard to the complete de-population tactic of the areas affected by the construction of the High dam give string indications of how it is going to benefit from the dams being built in the Sudan simply because the same tactic of de-population is being followed.

The Non-Nubian re-population of Nubia
The Nubians in both Egypt and the Sudan did make many attempts to go back and establish small colonies of settlements and agriculture. They farmed the drawdown areas by pumping water from the reservoir[19]. However, all these attempts were occasionally aborted by the fluctuating water level of the reservoir, a matter the Nubians believe it to be intentional by the authorities which never encouraged them to go back.
By the 1990s the Egyptian government began following a policy of repopulating the evacuated Nubian regions. It began encouraging Egyptians other than Nubians to settle in the evacuated areas around the reservoir lake. It did this while the Nubians were kept away from their own historical lands, living in a pigsty style of life in their barren area of Koum Ambo. However, two economical activities have been available to develop in the evacuated area; namely fishery and agriculture. And indeed there are such projects, but with no Nubians among either the fishers by the Egyptian government[20]. The same thing happened in the Sudan, with tacit encouragement from the government to the Arab Bedouin who began settling in the evacuated area. The full and open selling out of Sudanese Nubia by the Sudanese government was to wait for a few years to come yet.
The re-population of the Nubian region in Egypt has become an official policy entrusted to both the Minister of Agriculture and the military Governor of Aswan. Villages with full facilities and utilities built by the Egyptian government and distributed to individuals and families from outside the regions with bank loans to start with. In 2006 the inauguration of the settlement at the old Nubian village of Kalabsha with 150 non-Nubian families took place; it was opened by the Minister of Agriculture Amin Abaza[21]. The al-Ahram Newspaper (the unofficial voice of the government) announced that tens of thousands of fedans were to be distributed in the Nubian region to people other than the Nubians[22]. When the Nubians demanded that their lands be returned to them, they got an arrogant reply from the military Governor of Aswan: "If you want your lands, go fetch them beneath the water[23].
This policy is adopted by the Egyptian government in order to contain the discontent among its Arab population who had been negatively affected by the 1992 Agricultural Law, which has come into effect by 1997. This law has liberalized the land tenure market by abolishing the old land rental and tenure by returning it to its old feudal owners, thus compelling the peasants to re-hire it all over again, with the threat of rental price increase looming over their heads. During the 1990s the price actually tripled and by now it has quadrupled[24]. This has caused a turmoil and unrest among the peasants who began seeking other jobs. Migration of the peasants to other areas of agricultural schemes of reclaimed land, away from their home villages, was encouraged by the government. The Egyptian government adopted the policy of inter-migration so as to solve (1) its chronic problem of population explosion, and (2) to compensate those who have been negatively affected by its land liberalization law. Re-settlement in the reclaimed land of the New Valley in Sinai was officially encouraged, a matter the peasants were not enthusiastic about. Being riverain all through history, such a move was too much for them. That is how the Egyptian government began re-settling them in the Nubian regions which was evacuated four decades ago against the will of its historical people, the Nubians.

III.       THE DAMMING OF NORTHERN SUDAN
The Hamdi’s Triangle gave way to the policy of Demographic Engineering to be conceived and  hastily implemented in Darfur and now in Nuba Mountains (southern Kurdufan) and northern Sudan. In northern Sudan it is going to be implemented under the pretext of development that necessitates building a series of dams on the Nile so as to produce power and irrigation. The DIU has declared that it is going to build at least 23 dams in the Sudan with at least 4 of them in Southern Sudan. In northern Sudan (down stream from Khartoum and further north) where millions of Egyptians peasants are going to be settled after evacuating the dam-affected people, at least 6 dams will be built with the 7th already complete.

A.    arguments for and against dam building[25]

This section will review and discuss the series of dams being built in the Sudan weighing their pros and cons. It will give evidence to the damage they wreak with regard to the affected people and ecology weighed with the very little benefit to be gained from them. It will discuss the arguments pertaining to the two points of view. To do this one needs to set up the general guides for dam building. Dams are built either for productive (agriculture and power) or preventive (against floods and draught) objectives; their function however is not eliminatory as a dam can serve one, two, or even all the above functions (as the case with the Aswan High Dam). However, it is deemed necessary to clearly state the function of dam when building one. If a dam is built to irrigate water, then the agricultural scheme should necessarily be conceived before the idea of the dam; the same rule applies when the dam is built to generate power for industry. So far, aside from generally speaking that these dams are meant for both agriculture and industry, the Sudan government has failed to publicly bring forward the details of any development project in relation with the dams it intends to build.

1.      Power generation claims

The total of power to be generated from all the dams in the Sudan will not exceed in any way 5.000 MW (according to Makkawi al-Awad, the Director-General of National Electricity Corporation[26]. The cost of Mirwi dam has so far exceeded $2.25 billion, borrowed from China and various Arab states and banks; the dam has not yet come to completion. With such little amount of power the dam is thought not feasible with regard to the high cost. For instance, the non-industrial consumption of power in the Saudi capital, Riyad, is 8.000 MW. This raises a host of questions such as: if Saudi Arabia, as an oil country, is able to generate all this power (35.000 MW in total), why not Sudan which has also become an oil country? What will Sudan do when Khartoum becomes the size of Riyad? Makkawi al-Awad[27] gives us the following options for power generation covering the period up to year 2030, thermal and hydro as well:
  • Hydro-power generation: 4.587 MW (%28)
  • Thermal-power generation: 18.491 MW (%28)
The news broke out telling that, according to Afifi Abdul Wahab, the Egyptian Ambassador in Khartoum, Egypt has agreed to supply northern Sudan with electricity[28]. This was understood by the Nubians to be meant as services rendered to facilitate the Egyptian settlement in the Nubian basin. It also shows that the electricity of Merowe (Mirwi) dam is not enough.

2.      Irrigation claims

Dams are often built to provide irrigation for the agricultural development projects. However, this presupposes that there is enough water to be irrigated. The total share of Sudan in the Nile water is 18 billion cubic meters (BCM), while its consumption is 14 BCM, with a surplus of 4 BCM only. This means that it can rely on these 4 million cubic meters for its agricultural development projects. But building the five dams in northern Sudan will waste more than its surplus in evaporation as the region is known of its very hot climate. To make things worse, the region is also known of its relatively flat topography, a matter that results in the dam reservoirs being extensively stretched thus providing big water surface for evaporation. Of the five dams, I will bring the evaporation loss of only three of them: Mirwi, Kajbar and Dal. These figures are taken from: Dr. Seif al-Din Hamad Abdalla (2008)[29]. The importance of this reference is that the writer, more than being a highly qualified person on water resources, is the expert of the Ministry of Irrigation and Water Resources and in this capacity he submitted this paper: Merowe (Mirwi) Dam evaporation loss of water: 1.5 BCM; Kajbar Dam evaporation loss of water: 1.7 BCM; Dal Dam evaporation loss of water: 800 Million CM.
This shows that the building of these three dams only will literally leave Sudan without any water surplus that may allow it to undertake further agricultural development projects. The same author, speaking in the same capacity in a symposium held by the government in Khartoum, stated that only 2 BMC of Sudan’s surplus of water will remain after the completion of Merowe (Mirwi) dam[30]; the remaining 2 BMC will vanish into the thin air by the completion of Kajbar and Dal dams.  In the conference of Arab ministers of water resources held in Sharm al-Shaikh resort in Egypt, the Sudanese minister, Kamal Ali, admitted that the dams of northern Sudan are being built only for power generation[31]. This means that building the other dams (Mugrat, Dagash, al-Shireik, and al-Sabalouga) will even make Egypt’s share of the Nile water decreases sharply. For Egypt to sacrifice water in this extravagant way there must be a bigger compensation; nothing than new cultivable lands can equal the prize of water to Egypt.

3.      Dam duration

Dams built on rivers with high alluvial sediments, such as the case with the river Nile, are deemed unfeasible[32]. The dam of Khashm al-Qirba on the river Atbara in eastern Sudan was built to irrigate the agricultural projects set up solely to sustain the Nubians affected by the Aswan High dam who had been resettled there. It was built at the same time with the Aswan High dam. The last 40 years have been enough to relegate it into redundancy as a result of the river’s annual 170 million tons of sediments[33]. This has lead to the deterioration of the Khashm al-Qirba agricultural scheme to the extent that it could not sustain the Nubians who were compelled to mount another exodus.
The situation of the Aswan High dam with regard to sedimentation remains a matter of guess due to the secrecy enveloping it. However, it is known that the USAID had funded $154 million in improvements to the High Dam since the late 1980s[34]. More than harming the turbines of the dam, the high alluvial sediments of the Nile water have caused acute problems of salinity in Egypt. In R.J. Oosterbaan, 1999[35], we read: “The salt concentration of the water in Lake Nasser [read Lake Nubia in the Sudan] at the High Dam is about 0.25 kg3 salt/m. The salt import into Egypt’s water use systems thus amounts to about 14 million3 3 tons per year (55 billion m water/year x 0.25 kg salt/ m water) or roughly 1.6 ton/fedan/year over 8.7 million fedans of irrigated land, i.e. 4.0 ton/ha/year”. So, if the last 40 years were enough to turn the Khasm al-Qirba dam into redundancy, then it is quite possible that the dams being built in northern Sudan will face the same fate. When the river Atbara joins the Nile, the alluvial sediments reach 270 million tons. All the six or seven dams are located down the confluence of the Atbara and the Nile. This makes one question the feasibility of building these dams. However, by building them, Egypt will definitely be the major beneficiary as they are going to save the Aswan High dam from the fate that has befallen Khashm al-Qirba dam.

B.      The Seven Dams on the River Nile North of Khartoum[36]

Below we are going to review these dams and the benefits assumed to be gained from building them with regard to the declared policy of Demographic Re-engineering.

1.      Merowe (Mirwi) Dam (4th Cataract)

The Merowe (Mirwi) dam project has a long history when compared to the other ones to be built. Its idea was conceived first by the Egyptians who wanted to build their high dam at this spot in 1947. Later they changed their mind but not before they conducted the land and socio-economic surveys and drawing maps- the same maps that will be used later by the Dam Implementation Unit to estimate the agricultural and demographic loss going to be caused by the dam.

Objectives of the project
The website of the dam says that it[37]: “… is a multipurpose scheme … basically intended for generating hydropower”. Many feasibility studies were done on the project in the past decades the most recent of which are the studies conducted by Monenco-Agra Company, Canada, in 1993, and the Hydro-project Institute, Russia, in 1999.”  Then the website gives 10 objectives for building the Merowe Dam as follows:
1.      To generate electricity power to meet the increasing demand for purposes of economical and social development
2.      To provide relatively cheap electricity power to improve the irrigated agriculture in the country
3.      To benefit from the flow irrigation for the upper stream river to achieve agricultural development, and to improve the breeds of agricultural seeds
4.      To use the electricity to pump up the ground water and use it to expand the agricultural sector
5.      To establish industrial projects, food industry projects, and mining fields that depend on the electricity as a main energy source
6.      To introduce the fish industry in the Dam’s lake
7.      To protect the downstream areas from the destructive floods
8.      To improve the river transportation
9.      To improve the living standards for the local residents in the area of the project, by creating investments and new job opportunities
10.  To reduce the pressure on the current dams, especially with regard to the struggle for water use for irrigation or power generation

However, in another place we read other objectives[38]: “The Merowe dam was designed to serve several purposes, namely: the generation of electricity from its 1250 MW hydropower station; the development of centralized agricultural irrigation schemes (about 300000 ha); and, the protection of the Northern State against devastating high floods of the river Nile. Furthermore, the dam will act as a sediment trap, reducing sedimentation at the Aswan High Dam further down stream in Egypt”.
Now with the dam complete and officially inaugurated on 3/3/2009 by President al-Bashir, the country has yet to wait to see it producing energy. Many trials were made in the last 5 months to operate the dam so as to generate power with no tangible results. There was wide blackout in the country on the very same day announced to have the dam being operated to incorporate the power generated from the dam into the main stream electricity of the National Electricity Corporation (NEC). This happened more than three times. Furthermore, the dam has not been working according to the operating programme designed for it[39]. All this has lead to a conflict between DIU and NEC which was deepened by the fact that the latter had already announced its plan to generate more power than all total gained from all the dams planned to be built by the DIU and with less cost.

Arab funding of the project

Amount of the basic loan: $150 million
The amount of the additional loan: $100 million
The total amount of funding: $250 millions
The basic loan was signed on 7th May 2002, and the additional loan was signed on 21st January 2004

The Kuwaiti fund for economical development

Amount of the basic loan: $100 million
The amount of the additional loan: $50 million
The total amount of funding: $150 millions
The basic loan was signed on 17th March 2002, and the additional loan was signed on 26 April 2004

Abu Dhabi fund for development

Amount of the basic loan: $100 million
The amount of the additional loan: $50 million
The total amount of funding: $150 millions
The basic loan was signed on 6th May 2002, and the additional loan was signed on 26 April 2003

The Saudi fund for development

Amount of the basic loan: $150 million
The amount of the additional loan: $50 million
The total amount of funding: $200 millions
The basic loan was signed on 30th December 2003, and the additional loan was signed on 22 April 2004

In addition to the funds provided by the Arab Funds, Qatar and the Sultanate of Oman did contribute to the financing of works at Merowe Dam. On 7th July 2002, a funding agreement of $106 million was signed with the Sultanate of Oman, and on 25th August 2002 an agreement totalling to $15 million was signed with the State of Qatar.

Other financiers

In addition to the Arab funding, the Government of China provided 85% of the funding required for the Transmission Lines and the Substations. The details of their funding are as follows:

The first loan: $400 millions
The second loan: $65 million
The third loan: $54 million
The total amount of the Chinese loans: $519 million
All three agreements were signed on 23 December 2003

The allowance period before the first repayment is 6-7 years, and the maximum repayment period is over 20 years.

The accompanying projects

§  Residential Town
§  Roads and Bridges
§  Railway
§  Merowe Airport
§  Merowe Hospital
§  There is no mentioning of any agricultural development project

Construction companies

§  Lahmyere International (Germany)
§  Alstom (France)
§  The China International Water & Electric Corporation CWE and CCMD Consortium (China)
§  Harbin Power Engineering Company (China)

Power, construction and reservoir

§  12.5 km3
§  175 km long (20% of the Nile annual flow)

Collateral damage

§  3.000 Archaeological sites submerged
§  55-70 thousands displaced
§  3 Ethnic groups affected
§  Proper resettlement not arranged
§  Clashes between the affected people and the military militia related to the Dam Implementation Unit (DIU) in 2003, 2006.

Criticism

(Light Observation Helicopter Avionics Package LOHAP & International Rivers Network[40])

§  Weakness of 1993 Monenco Agra (Canada) Feasibility Studies
§  Outdated assessment studies
§  Inadequacy of resettlement issues or the environmental and cultural impact studies;
§  Weakness of 2002 Lahmeyer International (Germany) Environmental Assessment study[41]
§  It says nothing about the resettlement of the Amri and Manasir people[42]
§  Lack of transparency
§  The Swiss Federal Institute of Aquatic Science and Technology (EAWAG) concluded in March 2006 that the Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA) provided by the Sudan government was very poor in quality. It states that the EIA had ignored that the “strong fluctuations will erode the river banks, making it difficult for farmers to collect water and fish in the river and reservoir; sedimentation will seriously diminish the capacity of the project to generate electricity; the dam will block fish migration”.[43];
§  Disregard of the international principles with regard to ecological damages[44];
§  The government has not consulted the affected communities about the project, and is cracking down harshly against their protests[45].

1.2.      The DIU forced Plans for the Manasir Resettlement
(1) al-Multaqa, far down the river; (2) al-Mukarāb, up the river, close to  Atbara; (3) al-Fidā’ Scheme, up the river close to Abu Hamad in the Rubatab tribe region; (4) Wadi al-Mugadam Scheme. It had declined the latter as no studies were made to assess its suitability. The areas 2, 3, and 4 were decided to be allocated for the resettlement of the people of Amri and the Manasir with the area 1 allocated for the resettlement of Hamdab people. In fact in the study conducted by the German company Lahmeyer International[46] on behalf of the Merowe Dam Project Implementation Unit, Commission for Social Affairs and Environmental Assessment, with the exception of al-Multaga (where the Hamdab affected people have already been resettled), there is no detailed resettlement arrangements for any of the above-mentioned areas. Wadi al-Mugaddam was indeed mentioned but not without false claims that it was endorsed by the Amri people as a resettlement area. “It is located 85 km downstream of the dam site, on the left bank of the river Nile and is 5 km distant from the river. On the basis of the limited information available, which is considered in sufficient o make a final decision, the site has been tentatively accepted by the Amri group pending the outcome of proposed studies to be undertaken to assess the extent and agro-economic feasibility of the site”[47]. According to the Manasir Just Demands, no further steps were taken on this issue. The Mukabrab was mentioned in just 5 lines[48] that read: “Another potential resettlement area, Mukabrab (19.000 ha), situated along the Atbara river (a seasonal tributary to the Nile), has a longer history than other places. The Mukabrab site has recently been reconfirmed a possible area within which to resettle part of the displaced Manasir people. Although some survey has been done already, detailed pedological, irrigation and agro-economic studies are required in order to finally assess its feasibility”. About what the Lahmeyer study[49] calls “other sites”, we read the following:
  • El Fida (16.000 ha) - at the beginning (upper reaches) of the future reservoir near Abu Hamad, on the right bank and 10 km from the river
  • Wadi Mahafur (22.000 ha) - 55 km downstream from the dam site, on the right bank and 5 to 10 km [sic] from the river
  • Wadi Hawar (25.000 ha) – 80 km downstream from the dam site, on the left bank and 5 km from the river
  • Wadi al Khuwai (1000.000 ha) – 230 to 230 [sic] km downstream from the dam site, on the right bank and 0 to 10 km from the river

All the sites except that of Wadi al Khuwai, are at least 5 km far from the bank of the Nile. The information about the Wadi al Khuwai is not true as it is at least 19 km far from the Nile. This sheds doubt on the credibility of the distances the study gives. By 2002, the time of the publication of the report, the construction works on dam had already started and the above-mentioned sites were already being presented to the affected people against their will as the chosen areas for their resettlement. This raises the question of the scientific integrity and honesty of the studies undertaken by the DIU. The other observation to be made, the irrigation of the agricultural schemes to sustain the resettled people, according to the plans of al-Multaqa, were to be done by pumps from the Nile rather than from a canal branching from the Merowe dam.


2.      Kajbar Dam (3rd Cataract)

The main reference relied on in this regard is a study prepared by the DIU[50]. So far, this is the only release of the DIU with regard to Kajbar dam; the summary is not a study in the strict meaning of the word, but rather a mobilization introduction aimed at the de-sensitization of the affected people toward the project. It is written with loose, rhetoric and flowery discourse. The Informative Summary talks a lot about the benefits of hydropower, other dams such as Merowe dam, which has already been implemented, and benefits of Dal dam whose feasibility studies have not yet finished according to the DIU.

Kajbar is a small village in the middle of the Nubian Mahas region about 120 km down the river from Dungula, the capital of the northern state. The most northerly part of the third cataract ends at Kajbar, where the government declared in 1995 its plans to build a dam.

The causes for proposing the building of Kajbar dam is to generate power (Installed Capacity of 360 MW). The government thought of building it in 1995. By 1999 it declared unofficially that it had abandoned the project due to the lack of fund and little feasibility. In 2005 the government through the Dam Implementation Unit declared that it was going headfast to build the dam. Equipments were brought to the site the matter that caused anxieties among the villagers. To curb the fears of the people the government assured the villagers that the dam was not going to be build unless they explicitly agree to that. They even conveyed a Presidential message that people had the right in deciding not to have a dam built on their land.

The objective listed in the Informative Summary are vaguely general without specifying a single project with a specific name of product, area, producer, investor let alone ways of marketization and/or industrialization. They go as follows:

·         Power for water pump instead of diesel-fueled pumps to irrigate present-day cultivated lands
·         The building of the dam will lessen the cost of irrigation which some times is more than the income of cultivation
·         The use of the hydroelectricity in pumping underground water and thus increasing the cultivated areas
·         The expansion in the production of various fruits of which the Northern State is known so as to export them
·         The use of electricity in mining and building material which are in abundance in the State
·         The creation of an attractive tourist environment by exploiting the lake of the reservoir plus the antiquities of which the State is rich
·         The encouragement of various industries such as food and foliage industries
·         The promotion of the social and cultural life of the local communities and the increase of living standards as a result of the spread of investment activities
·         Architectural development in various towns of the State with service provision which will result from the flow of investment
·         Providing sustainable electricity for urban and rural societies in the State with very little cost for various utilities
·         The saving of the huge sums of money presently being paid by the farmers to provide for fuel; and providing support for them so as to raise their production capacities
·         The hydropower supports animal production in its all kinds (poultry, dairy, and meat) a matter that will make the State a pioneer in this area.

The Funding of the Project

When the idea of the dam was hatched in 1995, a company was established under the name of Kajbar Electricity Co. The company financed the initial studies and designs which were made by the Russian Institute of Hydro-Project. The share holders were as follows:

§  The Government of the Northern State
§  The Farmers Union of Northern State
§  The Cooperative Union of the Northern State
§  The Women Union in the Northern State
§  The Bank of Khartoum
§  The Islamic bank of the North
§  The farmers Bank
§  Individual shareholders from the Northern State

The accompanying projects

No accompanying projects were mentioned in the Informative Summary. The Informative Summary says about this: “By transferring the project to the Dam Implementation Unit (DIU) all the documents and studies have become the property of DIU”. Neither a date is given when this took place nor any information about what has become of the shares of those holders. No information is either given about who is funding the project or who is implementing it. However, other sources say that it is a partially financed by China. Matthias Muindi writes[51]: “Of the three dams that Awadh al-Jaz, Minister of Energy and Mining, approved in April 1998, the Merowe Dam will be the second to be constructed. The other, Kajbar Dam on the second cataract, has been under construction since late 1998. It is co-financed by the Sudan and China governments and is expected to add another 300 megawatts. China, which is financing 75 percent of the project, has so far spent US$200 million on the project”[52].

Construction Companies

§  Could be anyone of the following Chinese companies?
§  The China International Water & Electric Corporation CWE and CCMD Consortium (China)?
§  Harbin Power Engineering Company (China)?

Power, Construction & Reservoir

§  FSL: El. 218 / 213 m
§  Dam Height : 17 m
§  Installed Capacity : 300 / 108 MW
§  Reservoir: 3 km3
§  Length: 67.5 km long (20% of the Nile annual flow)

Collateral Damage

§  No figure is given with regard to the archaeological sites to be submerged
§  No figure is given about the number of people to be displaced in the Informative Summary; however, other sources give the figure of 10-20 thousands
§  Cultivated land lost is 3.600 according to the Informative Summary, a matter the affected people do not agree with
§  One main ethnic group to be affected (the Mahas) plus part of the northerly Danagla
§  No proper resettlement has been arranged; the Informative Summary, which is issued in March 2008, states that the preliminary studies have indicated toward the suitability of Kukka Plains, immediately upstream from the dam site on the left bank of the Nile, with only 15.000 fedans. It admits that the area has neither been studied in a proper way nor there any exact statistics
§  At least 500 archaeological sites will be submerged (the area surveyed from the site of the dam upstream to Tombos, approximately 20 km (i.e. out of the 70 km which is the extent of the dam lake)[53].
§  Clashes between the affected people and the military militia related to the Dam Implementation Unit (DIU) in June 2006.

Criticism

§  Weakness of 1995 Mahmoud Sharif’s Feasibility Studies
§  Outdated assessment studies
§  Inadequacy of resettlement issues or the environmental and cultural impact studies
§  Lack of transparency
Disregard of the international principles

3.      Dal Dam (2nd cataract)

The information on Dal dam is very scanty due to the lack of transparency that has so far characterized the policies of the Dam Implementation Unit (DIU). Three sources only have been available. The first is the study conducted by the Russian Hydroproject Institute[54]. The second study is the pre-feasibility study was conducted in November 2006 by EDF Scot Wilson[55]. The third source is a study prepared by the DIU[56], which be given special emphasis as it is the only document that issued by the DIU. The fact that the information related to Dal dam is included in a DIU publication that bears the title Kajbar Dam Project is very telling of either the unprofessional way of doing its job or of its intention to envelop its job with shrouds of ambiguity and obliteration.
In matters pertaining to the dams being built in the Sudan, the Egyptian press has generally been more revealing than their Sudanese counterpart. The former Egyptian First Undersecretary of the Ministry of Irrigation, Engineer Ibrahim sabsuba, has been reported to say that the future of agriculture in Egypt is doomed due to high salinity caused by the High Dam of Aswan; the only solution that Egypt has opted to is to build a dam in Dal village in northern Sudan so as to dig a canal out of it that will join the river Nile immediately after the High dam of Aswan so as to tackle the problem of salinity by feeding the Nile with alluvial loaded water[57]. Above when discussing the durability of dams built on high sedimentation rivers, the problems facing the High dam of Aswan was briefly discussed with the fact that the USAID had funded $154 million in improvements to the High Dam since the late 1980s[58]. More than harming the turbines of the dam, the high alluvial sediments of the Nile water have caused acute problems of salinity in Egypt. In R.J. Oosterbaan[59].
The Informative Summary (March 2008) states that the field studies have already begun and were supposed to finish in August the same year. So far, nothing has come out to this effect. It also states that the studies targeted two scenarios, names Low Dal (201 m above sea level) and High Dal (219 m above sea level). The Informative Summary does not give the exact heights of any of them (however, other sources show this, see below). Then it states that the socio-ecological studies have proved the infeasibility of Dal High. The Informative Summary does not mention any details about any socio-ecological studies. However, a social impact assessment is claimed to have been conducted[60]. The people of Sai island, which lies about 50 km upstream from the site of Dal dam, told the present investigator[61] that a team from the Karima-based Faculty of Arts and Human Studies, University of Dongola, had tried to conduct such a social impact survey starting with Sai island in June 2008. At the beginning the team denied to be part of the studies undertaken for the building of Dal dam. When confronted with the above mentioned study, which was provided to villagers by the anti dam committee, members of the team admitted that the survey was part of the studies of the Dal dam. The team was chased out of the island and that was the end of the survey as it has not dared enter any other village as the rest of the villages were notified. However, the same team which was lead by Dr. Nasreldin Sulaiman, from Karima-based Faculty of Arts & Humanity Studies, University of Dungula, did conducted the survey covering the area from Saadin Fenti (north Mahas region) down to Akasha which is about 20 km downstream from Dal village[62].

Low Dal

(Source: EDF Scot Wilson, ibid)
  • Low to moderate dam height, 20 – 45 metres
  • Extensive bedrock evident at site in river channel and on abutments
  • Geological mapping proposed
  • Cost (Millions Euro) : 298.600

Assessment of Dal Site (Low option)

  • Dam Hieight : 25 + 20 m
  • Installed Capacity MG: 340 + 108/300
  • Annually Energy GenerationGWh/yr : 3.000-4.000
  • Population displaced by Reservoir : 5.000-10.000

High Dal
(Source: EDF Scot Wilson[63])
  • Dam Height: 45 m
  • Installed Capacity MG: 700-800
  • Annually Energy Generation GWH/yr: 4.000-5.000
  • Population displaced by Reservoir: 10.000-20.000

Assessment of Dal Site (High option)

  • Very low topography, especially on West bank
  • Shallow reservoir, high evaporation losses
  • Only power benefits, no benefits from irrigation, flood alleviation or regulation
  • High affected population 10,000 – 20,000
  • Substantial loss of date palm trees and irrigated agriculture
  • Rumours among the local people talk about a third scenario of Dal Higher, whose lake will extend to 20 km upstream from the site of Kajbar dam. It is claimed that this is Plan B in case of cancelling Kajbar dam due to pressure from the local communities of the affected Mahas and northerly Danagla lest they get united against the government.

Power, Construction & Reservoir

(Source: EDF Scot Wilson[64])
  • FSL : El. 218 / 201 m
  • Dam Height : 45 / 20 m
  • Installed Capacity : 780 / 340 MW

Collateral Damage

  • No figure is given with regard to the archaeological sites to be submerged;
  • No figure is given about the number of people to be displaced in the Informative Summary; however, other sources give the figure of 10-20 thousands;
  • Cultivated land lost is 3.600 according to the Informative Summary, a matter the affected people do not agree with;
  • One main ethnic group to be affected (the Sikkout) plus part of the northerly Mahas;
  • No proper resettlement has been arranged; the Informative Summary, which is issued in March 2008, does not say anything about the resettlement of the affected people;
  • No archaeological survey has been conducted to assess the possible loss of sites and antiquities. However, five major sites of antiquities, namely Amara West, Sai, Seidenga, Soleb, and Sesebi are potentially and directly threatened by the construction of the dam[65].
  • Clashes between the affected people and the authorities of the State in 2008 indicate in the future the same will happen with the Dam Implementation Unit (DIU) when it starts the construction.

Criticism

§  Weakness of the studies of Informative Summary[66], Hydroproject Institute[67] and the pre-feasibility study by EDF Scot Wilson[68].
§  Scientific and Methodological deficiencies;
§  Inadequacy of resettlement issues or the environmental and cultural impact studies prepared by EDF Generation & Engineering Division[69];
§  Lack of transparency

4.      Mugrat Dam (5th Cataract)

Mugrat island occupies the northern parts of the 5th cataract in Abu Hamad Reach, which is inhabited by the Rubatab tribe[70]. Mugrat is considered to be one of the biggest islands in the Sudan as it stretches for about 40 km with an average width of 5 km. The information on this project is very scanty.

This dam is the brain child of the Islamic regime of Khartoum; it is not included in the series of possible dams studied in the mid 1970s to the mid 1980s[71]. Only two sources with very meager information have been available. The first source is a publication of the Dam Implementation Unit[72]. The second source is information gained by the investigator in personal communications that the consultant company is SMEC, Australia[73].

Consulting the website of SMEC we read: “SMEC's origins were in the development of the Snowy Mountains Hydro-electric Scheme in south eastern Australia which was designed and built between 1949 and 1974. At the time it was the largest infrastructure development ever undertaken in Australia and a symbol of national development and modernization”. It tells of the activities of the company in other areas of the world, Africa included: “SMEC continues to be one of the world's foremost hydropower development consultants. We offer over 40 years hydropower experience in Australia, Asia, Africa and the Pacific. We have engineered more than 30 major hydro-electric power/pumping stations of up to 2100 MW capacity”[74]. With regard to Sudan, the website says nothing in details aside from admitting that it is mounting a series of major projects of dam building: “Key achievements in 2007-8 included the strengthening building market in Vietnam, a burgeoning urban development sector in Australia, major dam projects in Sudan, Vietnam and Australia, and design of the high altitude Rohtang road tunnel between India and China”[75].

The Mugrat Dam Study contains 3 maps of the area with none of them having any scale. Two of them show the sites of the dam of Mugrat along with the sites of other two dams, namely of Dagash and al-Shireik all of which are in the 5th cataract. The study contains 7 chapters (with chapter 7, P.33, preceding chapter 6, P. 37). Chpter I speaks generally about the municipality of Abu Hamad and its administrative units (PP. 5-6); chapter II, PP. 8-12, generally speaks about the dam and the areas that are going to be flooded (to dealt with below); chapter III, PP. 14-17, speaks about the influential personalities in the area; chapter IV, PP. 19-25, generally speaks about the following services and utilities: residence, health, education, water supplies and electricity; chapter V (PP. 27, 28, 29 & 32 with 30 and 31 missing) generally speaks about the population and social situations giving scanty information of the tribe of Rubatab; chapter 6 (PP. 38-41) speaks generally about the economical situation in the area; chapter 7 (PP. 33-34 sic, with the page that speaks of water & electricity in chapter V repeated on 36) generally speaks about roads, communication, security services, i.e. Police, and river transportation.

This dam also seems to be the brain child of the Islamic regime of Khartoum as it is not included in the series of possible dams studied in the mid 1970s to the mid 1980s[76].

Objectives of the Project

§  Apparently electricity as there is no mentioning of any objective in the copy of have of the Mugrat Dam Study

The Funding of the Project

§  No information so far

The accompanying Projects

§  Nothing so far

Construction Companies

§  SMEC, Australia[77]

Power, Construction & Reservoir

§  No information so far

Collateral Damage

§  Archaeological sites to be submerged: No information so far
§  Villages to be submerged: 59 villages. This should not be trusted as the map does not show them. The map is neither detailed nor scientifically accurate. It shows that only the inhabited satellite islands around Mugrat are 11 let alone the relatively small ones not shown in the map. At least 30 small villages within and around Mugrat Island are shown in the map, let alone the hamlets within each one of them. Any village threatened to be flooded has the right to be assigned a place in a map drawn specifically for such a purpose.
§  Number of People displaced: according to our copy of Mugrat Dam Study, PP. 4,5, only the villages affected on the west bank are given which is 17597. This should not to be relied on as the number of a whole Locality, al-Jireif on the west bank, are missing.
§  Ethnic groups affected: Rubātāb Arfo-Arab tribe of the Ja‛aliyyīn stock.
§  Proper resettlement not arranged: Nothing has been arranged as the people to be affected by the dam have not been officially informed of the construction of the dam.
§  Clashes between the affected people and the Dam Implementation Unit (DIU): On 14 November 2008, the DIU cancelled a meeting in Abu Hamad where a group of scientists affiliated to the consultant company were supposed to meet with the village sheikhs and local leaders to discuss the influence of the dam on their lives. This caused a stir among the people as the meeting was administered by the office of Abu Hamad Commissioner.

Criticism

§  Weakness of December 2007 Mugrat Dam Study
§  Scientific and Methodological deficiencies
§  Inadequacy of resettlement issues or the environmental and cultural impact studies;
§  Lack of transparency

5.      Dagash Dam (5th Cataract)

Only twp documents have been available for the present investigator, names the personal communication with some of the scientists who were contracted by the consultant company to undertake the pre-feasibility studies and an official publication from DIU. However, the information gained from both is very meager. The personal communication with some of the scientists working on this project has revealed that the dam is being built by SMEC. However, there is no mentioning of it at all, only stating that it is currently being contracted to build of dam projects in Sudan[78].

The official publication of DIU[79] is mostly a replica of the study conducted in Mugrat area. The only difference between the two studies takes place in chapter II (about the dam) and III (about the influential personalities in the area). For instance the Introduction goes as follows:

·         Mugrat Dam Study – “This document embodies the basic information about the area expected to be affected by the construction of Mugrat dam”
·         Dagash Dam Study – “This document embodies the basic information about the area expected to be affected by the construction of Dagash dam”.

The rest is simply a matter of 100% copycat to the extent that the authors have been forgotten in many places to replace the name “Mugrat” with the name “Dagash”. The name of Mugrat is mentioned in many a place of the study which is supposed to be of Dagash with one credit that for chapter VII (PP. 33-35, with PP. 31 & 32 missing) to rightly come after chapter VI (PP. 27-29).

This dam is a brain child of the Islamist regime of Khartoum as it is not included in the series of possible dams studied in the mid 1970s to the mid 1980s (cf. Ibrahim, A.M. 1984. The Nile Description, Hydrology, Control and Utilisation, PP. 1-13. in: Dumont, H.J., el Mogrhraby, A.I. & Desougi, L.A. (ed). 1984. Limnology and Marine Biology in the Sudan. The Hague, Boston, Lancaster: Dr W. Junk Publishers).

Objectives of the Project

§  Apparently electricity as there is no mentioning of any objective in the copy of have of the Dagash Dam Study

The Funding of the Project

§  No information so far

The accompanying Projects

§  Nothing so far

Construction Companies

§  SMEC, Australia[80]

Power, Construction & Reservoir

§  No information so far

Collateral Damage

§  Archaeological sites to be submerged: No information so far
§  Villages to be submerged: 11 villages[81]. This should not be relied on as many villages are missing in the lists while appearing in the maps. At least 10 small, inhabited islands are shown in the map while the banks of the Nile are shown to be sparsely settled. A recent visit to the region by the present investigator has shown this to be wrong. In this regard, the map is greatly flawed and very misleading.
§  Number of People displaced: Our copy of Dagash Dam Study, 2007, Op cit., gives two kinds of lists of affected villages with their relative population. The first list is on an unnumbered page between pages 1 and 2, which gives the name of the councils (9 in number) under which the villages fall; it gives the population of 18127. The second list, on P. 9, gives the number of 12 villages with population of 15353 with the population of some of the villages missing.
§  Ethnic groups affected: Predominantly Rubātāb Arfo-Arab tribe of the Ja‛aliyyīn stock.
§  Proper resettlement not arranged: Nothing has been arranged as the people to be affected by the dam have not been officially informed of its construction.
§  Clashes between the affected people and the Dam Implementation Unit (DIU): On 14 November 2008, the DIU cancelled a meeting in Abu Hamad where a group of scientists affiliated to the consultant company were supposed to meet with the village sheikhs and local leaders to discuss the influence of the dam on their lives. This caused a stir among the people as the meeting was administered by the office of Abu Hamad Commissioner.

Criticism

§  Weakness of December 2007 Dagash Dam Study
§  Scientific and Methodological deficiencies
§  Inadequacy of resettlement issues or the environmental and cultural impact studies
Lack of transparency

6.      Al-Shireik Dam (5th Cataract)

This dam is included in the series of possible dams studied in the mid 1970s to the mid 1980s[82]. It is to generate only power. The project began in 1993. In 1996 the Commissioner of Berber Province[83] began thinking of generating power in the same way proposed by the late Mahmoud Sharif in Kajbar case, i.e. by polar-suspended turbines across the cataracts so as to resolve the chronic problem of power shortage in the state. In the same year the Province contracted an international company to do pre-feasibility studies for such limited power generating project[84]. The contracted company turned out to be the Canadian company Acres International, which was sanctioned by the World Bank in July 2004 for leading corrupt business associated with the Lesotho Highlands Water Project, South Africa; the “… World Bank's Sanctions Committee found that Acres engaged in corrupt activities for the purpose of influencing the decision making of the then Chief Executive of the Lesotho Highlands Development Authority[85]. Eventually it did the contract which yielded a four-volume report[86]. However, instead of answering the question of how to generate power through suspended turbines set across the cataract, the report shifted to another purpose that is how to generate power by building the big al-Shireik dam, a matter eventually adopted by the River Nile State government.
By the end of 1996 the idea of building the suspended turbines was adopted by the government of the River Nile State; by 1997 the River Nile State Electricity Company was established to be shouldered with the responsibility of conducting the necessary studies for building al-Shireik dam. By 1999 all the studies deemed necessary for the dam were prepared by the company.

Objectives of the Project

  • To generate electricity not less than 100 MW that was deemed enough for the operation of the cement industry that was being planned by the State government.

The Funding of the Project

  • No information so far

The accompanying Projects

  • Cement industry (at least four factories are already functioning)

Construction Companies

  • A South African company has been contracted (rumours; not sure)

Power, Construction & Reservoir

  • FSL : El. 343 / 335 m
  • Dam Height : 45 / 20 m
  • Installed Capacity : 315 MW/ 150 MW
  • Cost: $ 600 Million (in 1998-1999)

Collateral Damage

§  Archaeological sites to be submerged: No information so far.
§  Villages to be submerged: No information. However, the map of al-Shireik dam area included in Mugrat Dam Study, op. cit., shows at least 40 place names on both banks of the river Nile with 10 inhabited islands.
§  Number of People displaced: 100.000 people (claimed by affected people).
§  Ethnic groups affected: Predominantly Ja‛aliyyīn Proper, Mirafāb and some Rubātāb Arfo-Arab tribe of the Ja‛aliyyīn stock.
§  Proper resettlement not arranged: Nothing has been arranged as the people to be affected by the dam have not been officially informed of its construction. However, rumours had that Wadi al-himār (i.i the Valley of the Donkey, a barren area that lies about 20-50 km on the eastern bank of the Nile) was illicitly determined as a place for resettlement
§  Clashes between the affected people and the Dam Implementation Unit (DIU) are expected as there is one political organization at least that has been established lately purposely to tackle the issue of building al-Shrieik dam, namely Nile River Coalition political movement.

Criticism

  • The power generated will not exceed 10% of the total national power especially when the Merowe (Mirwi) dam is complete
  • The construction of Merowe (Mirwi) dam has dramatically decreased the reservoir capacity of the dam
  • Lack of information[87]
  • Lack of transparency[88]
  • Loss of cultivated lands with no substitute available
  • Resettlement not arranged yet

7.      Al-Sabalouga Dam (6th Cataract)

This dam is included in the series of possible dams studied in the mid 1970s to the mid 1980s[89]. Only one source has been available, which is similar to the ones published by the DIU on the 5th cataract dams[90]. Below we are going to review the content of this report which is also of flowery and rosy language.
The first observation that catches sight is that it does not have pagination. In fact the document can hardly merit the description of a study. It lacks any scientific content and seems like it was written in hurry.
Introduction: Flowery language about the fame of al-Sabalouga area as a tourist attractive spot.
Chapter I: A Basic Background of the Area: Starts by the location of the area, showing the location in the map of the Sudan, stating that it “… lies in the Nile River State on the frontiers of Khartoum” without giving any distances. Then 4 lines on the climate of the area [sic]. Then it tells about the villages in the area.
Chapter II: The Tribes and Ethnic Groups:  It starts with the same flowery language describing the people and some aspects of their traditions and rites; then a heading on the hygienic situation, 3 lines only; then a heading on the political system, with only 2 lines; then a heading on the religious leaders, one and half lines; then a heading on the political leaders with 4 lines.
Immediately after this and out of the blue it starts talking about the opinion of the people on the project. It reads:
“The opinions of the citizens vary between those who agree and disagree of the project, but the majority supports it and gives it their blessing, provided that their rights are addressed. Those who oppose the project look upon their homelands as something that symbolize heritage which they have inherited from their forefathers. Most of those people are above 50 years old. However, those who support the project whose majority are youth and young people long for a better life, being more ambitious, a life that cannot be fulfilled in the prevailing realities. They all look forward toward the future with optimism and the fear of suspicious people [sic]. With regard to the studies being conducted in the present, contrary to what had taken place in Kajbar, the people of al-Sabalouga villages affected by the present studies [sic], have welcomed the project without showing any kind of refusal or opposition except few people of them such as wad al-Basīr”[91].

Then the study resumes the subject matter of the chapter with a heading on the government institutions in the area (two and a half lines).
Chapter III: The Various Population Activities:  It starts with a heading on agriculture and another on the kinds of crops; then the agricultural schemes in the area mentioning three of them, namely al-Wifaq scheme, al-Taqaddum Society scheme, and the scheme of the Extension of al-Taqaddum Society. It brings a map of these schemes and the surrounding villages with no scale. Then a heading on the animal resources (6 lines); and the fishery activities in the area (5 lines); and finally the river transportation which is not existent due to the fact that the river is impeded with the rapids and cataract.
Chapter IV: The Basic Services and Infrastructure: it starts with lamenting the relegated situation of the area in this regard (2 lines); a heading on health with lamentation on how poorly the area is serviced (2 lines); a heading on education with the same lamentation (2 lines); a heading on electricity with the same lamentation but not without making a stress on how needy this service is felt by the local people (6 lines).
Chapter V:  it starts with a heading on tourism and how the area is known to be attractive to national tourists. It sums the potential of tourism in three factors, namely the cataracts, some of the Mahdia State relics (1885-1899) and the proximity to Khartoum (9 broken lines).
Another heading is on antiquities that only mentions the relics of the Mahdia State and the wreck of a steamer that was used by Kitchener, the conqueror of the Mahdia State (4 lines). Nothing more which sheds doubts on whether any serious archaeological survey was conducted.
Chapter VI: it does not have a title of its own. It starts with a heading on the economical activities (5 lines); a heading on the flood of the Nile under which a variety of topics are discussed, such as farming, cultural activities, sports and school festivals (12 lines). Then comes another heading that reads: Sites South of the Dam, which tells about the villages that lie on the back of the dam, and it does not make it clear whether they will be affected by the dam or not. It talks generally to conclude that the flooding of the Nile submerge their shore farming and threatens the local people who seek shelter on the nearby mountains. After this it mentions two municipalities, namely Karari, East Nile, and another place called “al-Maqābir” (i.e. cemeteries) giving the names of the commissioners of each of them. The study admits that the area of al-Maqābir will slightly be affected with some of the graves going under the water. Does this mean that these sites are among those affected by the dam?
Conclusion and recommendations: it concludes that the majority of the people of the area to be affected by the dam have consented to its building. It also makes stress on the deteriorating situation of education and the shortage in the service of electricity to end up by stating that the villages upstream from the dam site are of less size than those downstream from the dam site [sic]. Then it brings a map of the site of the dam.

Objectives of the Project

  • To generate electricity not less than 100 MW that was deemed enough for the operation of the cement industry that was being planned by the State government.

The Funding of the Project

  • No information so far

The accompanying Projects

  • Cement industry (at least four factories are already functioning)

Construction Companies

  • A South African company has been contracted (rumours; not sure)

Power, Construction & Reservoir

  • FSL : El. 343 / 335 m
  • Dam Height : 45 / 20 m
  • Installed Capacity : 315 MW/ 150 MW
  • Cost: $ 600 Million (in 1998-1999)

Collateral Damage

§  Archaeological sites to be submerged: No information so far.
§  Villages to be submerged: No information. However, the map of al-Shireik dam area included in Mugrat Dam Study, op. cit., shows at least 40 place names on both banks of the river Nile with 10 inhabited islands.
§  Number of People displaced: 100.000 people (claimed by affected people).
§  Ethnic groups affected: Predominantly Ja‛aliyyīn Proper, Mirafāb and some Rubātāb Arfo-Arab tribe of the Ja‛aliyyīn stock.
§  Proper resettlement not arranged: Nothing has been arranged as the people to be affected by the dam have not been officially informed of its construction. However, rumours had that Wadi al-himār (i.i the Valley of the Donkey, a barren area that lies about 20-50 km on the eastern bank of the Nile) was illicitly determined as a place for resettlement
§  Clashes between the affected people and the Dam Implementation Unit (DIU) are expected as there is one political organization at least that has been established lately purposely to tackle the issue of building al-Shrieik dam, namely Nile River Coalition political movement.

Criticism

  • The power generated will not exceed 10% of the total national power especially when the Merowe (Mirwi) dam is complete
  • The construction of Merowe (Mirwi) dam has dramatically decreased the reservoir capacity of the dam
  • Lack of information[92]
  • Lack of transparency[93]
  • Loss of cultivated lands with no substitute available
  • Resettlement not arranged yet


IV.       CONSEQUENCES AND REACTION OF AFFECTED PEOPLE
This chapter will show to what extent the threat posed by the dams is grave and how the government is stealthily executing them with reckless readiness to use un-proportional force to suppress the affected people. It will also show how the affected people react to the building of the dams, at the beginning peacefully and later developing into very violent measures. The chapter will try to answer the question of whether the reaction of the frustrated affected people may trigger off civil strife and war in northern Sudan or not.

a.The Tactics of Deception and Obscurantism

                                                              i.      The Dam Implementation Unit

Rather than being a purely technical matter, where transparency is most needed along the technical qualification, building dams in the Sudan has become a political matter. The unit responsible for building the dam of Merowe (Mirwi) in the Sudan used to be under the authority of a technical ministry that is of Irrigation and Water Resources until it had been put it under the direct authority of the Presidency in 1999. In 2007 the Presidential Decree No. 217 was issued upon which the small unit was promoted into a Presidential department responsible for the building of all dams in the Sudan, hence the Dam Implementation Unit (DIU).
The website of the Dam Implementation Unit (DIU) gives us the following information about itself[94]: “On 27th Feb. 1999, the President of the Republic formed an Executive Unit to promote and follow up on the implementation of the Dam’s Project. Article (8), Paragraph (D) of the Presidential Decree mandated the Unit to prepare and execute all investment activities related to the project, and search for funds. At that time, Mr. Osama Abdullah Mohamed El Hassan was appointed as State Minister and made the Executive Director for the Merowe Dam Project Implementation Unit”. The first observation that attracts attention in this mandate is the fact that DIU is to be in charge of not only the construction of the dam, but furthermore of the investment activities related to its construction. In 2005 another Presidential Decree was issued (No. 206) upon which all the lands of northern Sudan (i.e. that lie in the State of the River Nile and of the North State) were ordered to be expropriated from the authority of the two respective state governments to fall under the authority of the DIU, which eventually started selling them to Arab investors as mentioned above. The second point to be observed is the wide power given to DIU by the Presidential Decree. Article (13) is titled “Exemptions” upon which the DIU is exempted from the following Civil Service Law:
·         Service Retirement Law
·         The National Social Insurance Fund Law
·         Civil Servants Accountability Law
·         Fiscal and Accounting law

This makes the DIU an institution above the law of the state as it has been launched with a law of its own that immunes it from litigation and auditing. Since then building dams has been politicized to the extent that a number of specialist and experts feared that this might have compromised the professionalism and technicality of dam building[95]. The DIU gave no heeds to such opinions. In a newspaper interview, when faced with such anti dam arguments, the Director of DIU, Osama Abdalla (a first year university drop-out), defiantly retorted back: “The more they attack me, the more projects I will come up with”[96]. In the last two years, the DIU took to organize proportional tours to the dam. Trade unions, Government employees, mosque committees all over the country were invited to these free of charge tours where they were provided with transportation (that varies from rented 4X4 vehicles, luxurious coaches and airlines), food, drinks, and more than often accommodation. Thousands of trips were said to have been arranges costing tens of millions of US Dollars.

                                                            ii.      Broken promises and mistrust in Merowe (Mirwi) dammed Area

The people affected by Merowe (Mirwi) fall into three groups, namely the Hamdab, Amri, and the Manasir. In the beginning the affected people agreed to the project, with the condition that they remain living in their home areas at the shore of the lake of the dam, i.e. not to be evacuated. However, the government seemed to have other agendas. By then the regions of northern Sudan were reeking with rage as the news telling of the secret agreements between the Sudanese and Egyptian governments upon which Egyptians peasants were going to be moving to the region. In The people were aware that the Four Freedoms agreement has paved the way to this Egyptian resettlement.
The adopted policy of total de-population decided that the people affected by Merowe (Mirwi) dam to be resettled in areas far from their historical homelands under the point of gun. To make it even worse, the government was so secretive about the project, totally ignoring to consult the concerned communities. Those who lived immediately behind the dam, i.e. the Hamdab, were compelled to resettle in an arid area covered by sand dunes about 100 km down the river far from its shore. They had to submit to that because by they were not fully aware about the plight to befall them. The people next to them, i.e. those of Amri region, resisted the plans of resettlement, demanding to be allowed to resettle on the shore of the artificial lake of the dam, just above the contour the rising water would stop at. The government declined them this right. The Manasir who are the only ethnic group to be wholly affected by the dam, adamantly rejected evacuating the area, demanding, like their brethren in the Amri area, the right to resettle on the shore of the lake. They were also denied this right. Up to the moment, one third of the Amri people and the majority of the Manasir are there sticking to their home villages notwithstanding the rising water of the dam as on 16/4/2008 the last gate of the dam was closed. The sufferings of the people who have remained are available in the web worldwide[97].
The cases of broken promises relating to each one of the affected groups of Merowe (Mirwi) dam will be reviewed with an emphasis on the Manasir as they constitute 67% of the affected population. In 1999 immediately after the Presidential Decree upon which the Merowe Dam Implementation Unit (MDIU) was formed, a socioeconomic survey was conducted so as to count the population their belonging in order to evaluate the compensation. The survey was flawed due to the secretive way of conducting it and consequently was rejected by the affected people as they were not consulted[98]. The Manasir Council noted that the MDIU was responsible for both the building of the dam and the decisions pertaining the resettlement and compensation of the affected population.
The MDIU, without consulting either the Hamdab people, Amri people or the Manasir, decided that the areas of resettlement were going to be as follows: (1) al-Multaqa, far down the river; (2) al-Mukarāb, up the river, close to  Atbara; (3) al-Fidā’ Scheme, up the river close to Abu Hamad in the Rubatab tribe region; (4) Wadi al-Mugadam Scheme. It had declined the latter as no studies were made to assess its suitability (See appendix 2). All places were at least 5 km far from the Nile. The Hamdab and Amri people were forced to move without much resistance as they were also completely ignorant on what they were going to live through.
The Manasir, on the other hand, decided that they were not going to be resettled afar from the shore of the Nile; they opted to what has come to be known as “the Local Option”. Accordingly they came up with 6 areas to be allocated close to the shore of the dam reservoir (Um Sarih; al-Haraz; al-Huweila; Kiheila East; Kiheila West; and Um Tineidba). The DIU, however, had other plans for the resettlement; it was decidedly determined in the studies it did of the dam and in particular about the human activities around the dam reservoir that no population was to be left back there. We read in the study conducted by Lahmeyer International[99] on behalf of the Merowe Dam Project Implementation Unit, Commission for Social Affairs and Environmental Assessment, that: “The population that is currently resident along the the reach of the Nile river that will be submerged by the future reservoir will be resettled, leaving an unpopulated area around the lake shore. This situation will remain so for an unpredicted period of time because the natural conditions will not allow agricultural activities.”
In 2002 a Temporary Decree named “the Law of Resettlement and Compensation of People affected by Merowe dam for the Year 2002” was issued in accordance to the Presidential Decree No. 1, 2002. It was supposed to either be ratified by the National Assembly in the Session number 2 on 10/8//2002 or to be amended or nullified. The National Assembly eventually formed a committee that concluded to the following points:
  • The Presidential Decree No. 1 did not take on board the results of the studies made with regard to the compensation categorization
  • The Decree did not give the affected people enough time to in deliberation with the government
  • The necessity for a separate commission for the compensation and resettlement
  • The observation made by the affected people with regard to the aloofness of the MDIU was taken on board.
Accordingly a separate commission was formed to run the affairs of the compensation and resettlement (the Commissioner of Resettlement & Compensation- CRC). The Manasir could have felt satisfied by these developments if it were not for the rumour that leaked telling that the CRC was in fact appointed by the Director of the MDIU himself, i.e. Osama Abdalla. This proved that the CRC is not going to function as an independent body but rather as a body that takes orders from the MDIU. On 28/1/2004 the Governor of the River Nile State wrote a letter[100] to the Director of MDIU urging him to be transparent and cooperative with the affected people and to expedite the studies related to the Local Option. He further urged him to disclose the information pertaining to the exact delimitation of the reservoir and to do his best to preserve the heritage and antiquities of the region. Not only did the MDIU ignore such pleas, but it went further to falsify the will of the people of the Manasir. On 19/1/2004 the Commissioner of Social and Ecological Affairs in the MDIU, Ahmad Muhammad Ahmad al-Sadig, had stated in a letter addressed to the Manager General of Agriculture, Animal Resources and Irrigation of the State of the River Nile that the Manasir have made up their minds to be resettled in the Mukabrab area, the very area that they adamantly kept rejecting up to the moment. On 20/7/2004 the Federal minister of agriculture, late Majzub al-Khalifa, issued a ministerial decree upon which clear directives were given to all concerned departments to start making the studies of assessing the Local Option so as to implement it. A committee of 8 members representing concerned government corporations and departments was formed to do that. However, it failed to make the Manasir happy as there was no one among its member to represent the MDIU.
The year 2004 elapsed with contradictory government letters issued from one side by the pro-Manasir various federal and state government ministries, states, and departments with regard to the facilitating of the Local Option, and, on the other side, other letters issued by the Anti Manasir MDIU with regard to the facilitating the resettlement of the Manasir in the Mukabrab against their will. It was clear that the MDIU over-ruled the various institutions of the federal state by simply being empowered by the Presidency. In 2005 the Manasir People Committee was arrested twice to stay almost 9 months in prison (3 months in the first arrest and 6 months in the second arrest) from 2005-2007[101].
In Amri the situation was the same as that of the Manasir; the people supported by various government institutions, were insisting on the Local Option with the MDIU stubbornly insisting on areas far away from the shore of the reservoir, a matter the people flatly rejected.
On 8/4/2006 a Presidential Decree[102] was issued upon which a host of decisions were made. They were as follows:
1.      The concerned parties in the River Nile State are to take over lands on the shore of the Merowe dam reservoir which lie within its frontiers so as to allocate them to those who rightfully deserve them [i.e. the Manasir]
2.      The River Nile State should under take the following so as to facilitate the implementation of Clause 1:
a.       Formation of basic committees with regard to those who are affected by the Merowe dam within the frontiers of the State
b.      It is upon the State Governor and the concerned parties in the River Nile State to immediately implement this Decree by taking the necessary measure.
The State Governor immediately issued a host of State Decrees in accordance[103] upon which the lands around the reservoir were allocated to the Manasir; another accordance[104] upon which the surveying of the lands around the reservoir were begun so as to facilitate the resettlement of the Manasir; another accordance[105] upon which the resettlement of the Manasir in the areas suggested by the DIU were to be suspended.  The Manasir could have never been happier if it were not for the TV interview with Osama Abdalla, the DIU Director that took place 4 days after these decisions were taken. In the interview Osama Abdalla mocked those decisions and sarcastically spoken of the Local Option. Still the Manasir could have ignored what Osama Abdalla, the DIU Director said, if the President did not praise the former for what he had said in the TV interview (for more details, see: Muhammad Abdalla Sid Ahmad[106].
At this point a group of very influential figures in the ruling party intervened to bring this un-necessary trouble to an end. They mounted an internal campaign upon which two major events took place. The first was the release of the the Manasir committee from the prison as it was a condition made by the Manasir not to go into negotiation while their committee members were detained. The second was the census which was conducted among the Manasir to check who many of them supported the Local Option. The census was made under the auspices of the Central Organ for Statistics. The results were as follows: 70% for the Local Option; 30% for the Mukabrab and other faraway areas[107]. All this was announced in huge gatherings of the Manasir in Khartoum and were hailed by the Manasir in their respective villages.
In all this no mention whatsoever was made of the DIU nor was there any one to represent it. It simply resumed its old policy of compensating the Manasir people according to the 1999 census which was totally rejected by both the Manasir and the government. The Manasir committee retorted back (cf.  Al-Ayyam Newspaper, 6/9/2007) accusing the DIU of trying to sow dissension among the people and not heeding any respect to its own government which had formed it.
In April 2007, i.e. prior to the flood season, the temporary gates of the dam were closed a matter that caused the water to rise to unprecedented levels flooding most of the shore lands in Amri area. The people of Amri stuck to their villages not heeding the pleas of some of the government officials to evacuate their homes. This closure of the gates continued to the end of the flood season. According to the organization of International Rivers: “During the flood seasons of 2006 and 2007, the dam builders restricted the Nile’s flow so much that the homes of thousands of families were flooded. According to affected people, the authorities decided to close the dam’s gates completely on the Eid holiday of September 30. The rising waters now threaten Sherri Island, a historically important island of 200 square kilometres in the Nile and a centre of the resistance against the Merowe Project. The island counts more than 1000 families and is a regional centre with schools, a hospital and local council offices”[108].
On 16/4/2008 the DIU celebrated the last re-diversion of the river course giving the signs that it was going to close the gates to fill up the reservoir[109], with news of thank-giving between the two governments of the Sudan and China made by top officials representing them. No mention in these two papers was made of what had become of the people of Amri. Next day, the head news[110] read about SOS pleas made by the people of Amri who were fighting the rising water. By the end of 2008 the whole area affected by Merowe dam was under water. This happened without fulfilling any of the promises made by the government. Nor there was any counting of belongings made to substitute the results of that of 1999 which were flatly rejected by both the people of Amri and the Manasir. The Human Rights Unit of the United Nations Mission in Sudan (UNMIS) concluded in a two days finding trip (29-30 October 2008) that the DIU had forced the Manasir and Amri people to evict their lands without providing them with the least aid[111].
On 26/1/2009 President Omer al-Bashir visited the River Nile State and addressed the masses. The Manasir were indeed there among the masses raising high their banners of demands. President al-Bashir announced that he recognized and positively responded to the demands raised by the Manasir and all those affected by Merowe dam[112]. That speech meant nothing new as the President had already responded positively to the demands of the Manasir by issuing the Presidential Decree No. 70[113]. The problem was that the Presidential Mandated DIU defiantly refused to take action accordingly. What more than a Presidential Decree can the President do?  This made many people raise the question whether what al-Bashir had said was simply election frenzy. On 18/2/2009 the minister of Presidential Affairs, Lieutenant General Bakri Hasan Salih dispatched a Presidential executive memo[114] with regard to the directives pertaining to the visit of the President to the State of the River Nile. It has 10 items to be implemented as the President publicly promised the people of the State. Against each item the government ministry or institution responsible with the implementation was mentioned. Item two read as follows: “To pay compensation to every body of the Manasir who is rightly entitled to; and the committees of counting belongings should start their work immediately”. The first government institution mentioned as responsible for implementing this item was the DIU, then the government of the River Nile State and last the federal ministry of Finance. This has even made the Manasir to be more frustrated than ever. They wondered what a publicly delivered pledge from the President can do today when a Presidential Decree had failed yesterday.

                                                          iii.      Obscurantism in Dal-Kajbar to-be-dammed Areas

In order to obscure the affected people, the government adopted the policy of giving contradictory news that creates confusion rather than clarification. Part of this tactic was to combine both dams of Kajbar and Dal in the official statements made by the government officials and the documents. This was shown in the documents discussed above where the feasibility study of Kajbar dam included discussion pertaining to the building of Dal dam.
On February 12, 2008, the governor of Northern State, while addressing the people of Serkinmatto village which lies across the river from Dal village, declared that the building of Dal dam is pending the ongoing studies and that it was not going to be built without  consulting the affected people[115]. On 18/8/2008 the Government of the Northern State publicly dispatched a public release[116] where it announced that “Of the the great works your government is facing up is the building of both Kajbar and Dal dams when the Merowe (Mirwi) dam is just about to finish. We believe that these dams mean the get out the patient citizen of this state from the narrowness of scarcity of living means and services so as to approach the wide space of sunshine development and construction. In this context the Resolution No. 73 for the year of 2008 of the Council of Ministers of the National Government has unanimously supported the construction of the Kajbar and Dal dams so as to preserve the rights of our people in the state”. A day later, i.e. on August 19 2008, in a press conference held at the Journalists House in Khartoum, the governor of Northern state states that there was no place for negotiating the principle of the building of Kajbar and Dal dams[117]. On 30/8/2008, in a visit to Sai island, the governor of Northern state defiantly declared that his government has not and will not drop the decision to build both Kajbar and Dal dams[118]. On 15/1/2009, the same governor declared that the building of Dal dam is pending the ongoing studies while the building of Kajbar dam, whose studies have concluded its feasibility, is pending the agreement of the affected people[119].
The government officials kept denying their intentions of resettling millions of Egyptian peasants in the Sudan while working for it openly. The Nubians we interviewed in June and December 2008 thought of it as a way to de-sensitize the issue. An Egyptian newspaper[120] wrote: “Jalal al-Dugeir [Secretary General of Democratic Unionist Party], the Sudanese minister of industry, has revealed that his country had received offers from Egypt, Qatar and the Emirates to cultivate about 6 million fedans of wheat”. When asked about the expected mass migration of Egyptians to the Sudan, the minister resignedly said: “The Egyptians are coming in all cases, whether we like it or not”[121]. The number given by the said newspaper for the Egyptians was only 5.000. However, on 26/5/2008[122] the news appeared with the following head news:  “Arrangements for the Resettlement of 5 Million Egyptians Peasants in al-Gezira Region [just south of Khartoum]. The Nubians also took the naming of al-Gezira as a de-sensitization tactic, expecting it to eventually be their own region as it is their region that has all the lands greedily sought by the Egyptian government.

                                                          iv.      The “shoot-to-kill” policy of DIU

Resistance in the Fourth Cataract
The three affected people of Merowe dam (Hamdam, Amri, and Manasir) established their respective organization to negotiate with the government the compensation and resettlement in 2000 when the project started. The Hamdab people, the first group to be resettled were, made no resistance as they were not given ample time to grasp the impact of the up-coming situation. In interviews with people there, the investigator was told that that was not going to be the case had they known. The DIU painted a rosy picture for them and they believed it. They have been resettled in a newly established area called al-Multaqa (i.e. road junction) as it is the spot where the newly paved tarmac road coming from Omdurman splits into two directions, Merowe and Dungula.
There they were resettled with the agricultural scheme of al-Multaga for their subsistence. The Lahmyre study[123] says about the agricultural scheme that the “… total gross area of the scheme is 6.300 ha and the net irrigated area is 5.600 ha”[124]. Instead of being irrigated from a canal branching directly from the dam reservoir as the same study states in another place, it is rather to be irrigated by two main pump stations with one of them on the Nile and the second serving as a via media that pumps water from a gathering pool. This is due to the high level of ground which has necessitated that the canals to be built on an 8 meter fill from above the bank of the Nile; the lifting of the canal keeps on the higher it goes towards the fields. We read: “The first distribution point along the canal at kilometer 4+270 about 50% of the water of the first lift is to be conveyed to the field through two secondary canals (S1 and S2). The remaining 50% is to be lifted again at the end of the main canal and distributed through two other secondary canals (S3 and S4) for irrigation of the upper part of scheme[125]. The secondary canals have a total length of 23 km and the 13 branch canals have a total length of 25.5 km.”
The fields grown by the Hamdab people in this scheme more than once ran out of water in the seasons of 2005, 2006 and 2007 due to breaking down of more than one of the various pumps that lifted the water from one level to the other. On 2/3/2009, just a day before President al-Bashir inaugurated the Merowe dam[126], the people of Hamdab took out to the streets and congregated at the roundabout of the junction blocking the way to commuting vehicles in protest of this problem. On 23/5/2209 the General Union of Hamdab Farmers issued a public release declaring the total failure of the agricultural scheme in the area they have been resettled into[127]. According to the Sudan Tribune[128]The farmers at the new resettlements, who lost their crops for the third time due to water shortage, decided to block the vital highway between Khartoum and Dongla to protest against the water shortage, but the police intervened and clashed with them to end the blockade”.
Taking lessons from the failing situation of Hamdab people, the Amri and Manasir people prepared themselves for the confrontation with the DIU. They established their respective representative organizations. The Manasir had the Dam-affected Manasir Committee which was recognized later by the Government of the River Nile State on 2/6/2004 to be developed into the Council of the Dam-Affected Manasir with its Executive Committee. However, the DIU did not recognize the Executive Committee. In response to this the committee held a meeting in Shiri Island on 2/9/2004 upon which they decided to withdraw their consent to the dam building. In early January 2005 the DIU deployed big military forces. The Manasir people reacted to this by calling for a mass meeting in al-Kab town upon which they re-confirmed the withdrawal of their consent to building the dam, declaring the region of the Manasir a closed area where no government institutional presence, military or civilian, was allowed. The DIU retaliated by taking to prison the members of the Executive committee where they spent a month. In December 2004 the members of the committee were arrested again to be released on 27/5/2005[129]. Three months later the frustrated Manasir took to the streets in their secluded villages. Some of the demonstrators threatened to take to arms and declare a civil war against the Federal government. The government sent huge heavily armed troops which searched the villages house by house for arms to find none.
By early 2004, a group of the Manasir people at home and in diaspora established a political organization called “the Movement of the Displaced Manasir”. They managed to have a group of about 22-50 of young Manasir to be trained in guerrilla war fighting by SPLM in Nuba Mountains in Kordufan. Later, in 2004 this group, lead by Ali Askuri, a London-based Manasir intellectual and anti-dam activist, merged into the SPLM[130]. The merge of this military Manasir organization in the SPLM has caused wide frustration among the Manasir due to the lack of SPLM of any clear stance with regard to the problem of dams in northern Sudan.
The Amri people established their own committee which is called “the Amri Dam-affected People Committee. Their scenario goes in the same steps as that of the Manasir: resisting evacuating their home area; opting for the local settlement; demanding fair compensation. The DIU did not heed any of these demands. In early 2006 the DIU changed tactics to crack down the resilience of the defiant people of Amri. It began intimidating the people in their villages to provoke them. The Amri People Committee was aware of the plans of the DIU and therefore kept its people under control ordering them not to respond to the provocative behaviour of the DIU.

Shooting in Amri
On the 22nd of April, 2006 in Amri island government security forces, militia groups and special paratroops belonging to the DIU opened fire on a small congregation of people who resisted being evicted. Three people were killed immediately with others injured. The Sudan Human Rights Organization reported the murderous attack with strong condemnation: “As relayed by several witnesses, as well as families of the injured citizens, the attack was planned and executed by the assaulting troop in collaboration with the security headquarters of the dam administration, which had been threatening with ‘severe reactions’ the natives opposing the dam’s location and the resettlement plans far away from their ancestral land at the Nile bank”[131].

Shooting in Kajbar
In 2005, when the government renewed its idea of building Kajbar dam, the governor of North State, ministers, and top officials of DIU assured the people that the dam was not going to be built without their explicit consent. These pledges were based on a direct order from the President that not to build any dam against the will of the people of the concerned area. Believing in the Presidential and official promises, they wanted to express their total rejection to the dam-building. On the 10th of April 2007 they organized a peaceful demonstration in the small villages overlooking the cataract, which was assumed to be the site of the dam. The special security force, which was putting on an army fatigue, opened fire wounding at least five people. Taking the injured people and heading back to the nearest hospital, at a certain river-mountain strait (called in Nubian ‘Kidin Takkār’) that allows for only one vehicle to pass at a time, the demonstrators came across a group of about 20 heavily armed soldiers apparently meant as reinforcement. Outnumbering the armed men, the angry demonstrators encircled the two vehicles and took the soldiers as hostages after stripping them of their arms for about two hours before releasing them.
On the 13th of June 2007 the villagers organized another peaceful demonstration that started from a village called Farrēg and then headed down the river toward the cataract. About five km up the river from the cataract, exactly at the same strait where they had held the armed men as hostages, the demonstration was ambushed by a group of heavily armed force that was positioned atop the mountain. The force opened fire killing instantly four people with one of them (Muhammad Faqir) a teenager of only 18 years old. More then 15 people were injured. The whole massacre was filmed by a video amateur; it shows the armed men cheering and dancing when shooting the villagers[132]. In the coming weeks more than 20 people were arrested, among them journalists who tried to report[133]. Leading figures of Nubian senior activists resisting the dam-building were also arrested for months[134]. Young Nubian activists were also arrested in northern Sudan and Khartoum[135]. On 24/6/2007 the Attenry General office dispatched a memo to all newspapers prohibiting them from publishing any material dicussing the issue of Kajbar bloodshed or dam[136].

b.      The remaining Threat of Dams

The plans to evacuate the Nubian region so as to facilitate the re-settlement of millions of Egyptian peasants to resolve Egypt’s chronic problems of population increase on one side, and the scarcity of resources on the other, seem to be endorsed by political forces other than the present Islamic regime. In 2000 al-Sadig al-Mahdi, the elected prime minister in the last democracy (1985-1989) and the Imam of the Ansar sect and leader of Umma Parti published a book while in exile in Cairo[137] where we read under the heading ‘the Demographic Map’: “The present demographic map of the Sudan has a defect; the provision of services and the demands of development necessitates a population improvement by which the dispersed villages, whose number is about 65, are regrouped into bigger villages. The investment map of the Sudan also needs to be fundamentally reconsidered. The demographic map in Egypt suffers also from defects because almost the whole population of Egypt is settled on the Nile bank and its delta, which is about 3% of its land. There are repeated attempts, since the time of the Tahrīr Province, and presently al-Wādī al-jadīd (the New Valley) and Toshka, to break away from the known human settlements so as to achieve demographic dispersion- a matter completely contrary to the Sudanese case. The new demographic map [sic] will show the need for demographic injections in various areas in the Sudan. The thought of organizing Egyptian migration to the Sudan is far more feasible than trying to develop lands reclaimed from the desert which cost much water and money.” In a symposium held in Khartoum in 2007, al-Sadig al-Mahdi withstood with his suggestions that it would be wise for the Egyptians to move to Sudan[138]. This shows that the threats facing the Nubians may not come to an end with the dismantlement of the present Islamic regime.
This factor has urged the to-be affected people of the dams to move quickly and muster their popular forces as shown above. Below we will review the possibilities their present reaction will develop to in the future if the Islamist government has not heeded to their demands.

c. The Alliance with the Rebels of Darfur and SPLM

The Anti Dam Committees united:
It was only a matter of time for the anti dam committees representing the affected people of northern Sudan to come together and unite. The calamities encountered by most of them (the Manasir, Amri, Hamdab, Kajbar and al-Shireik) were enough evidence to them that there were a lot to be shared by them. In fact they found themselves seeking each other’s help at every corner of their ordeal and conflict with the government. This proved to be of great relief to them. This has culminated in the proclamation they jointly did[139] protesting the constant rising of the reservoir of Mirwi dam against its determined operating programme. The proclamation reads as follows:
The situation in the Mirwi dammed area is very critical as the water has kept rising above the contour 300 which was supposed to be the highest limit of the reservoir according to the operating programme of the dam. The close monitoring of the water level since 1/4/2009 has shown that the water has risen from the contour 300, i.e. up to the brim of the dam lake, and reached by 1/5/2009 the contour 305. Latest news from the region has revealed that the water had even risen above the contour of 305. According to the operating programme of the dam, it is supposed to be at 292 in April and May, allowing people to cultivate the reclaimed shore lands. Attached is the operating programme of the Mirwi dam (source: the Nile River State, the Commission of the Mirwi Dam affected People, January 2007, The preliminary Report, prepared by YAM for Development & Consultation Co. P. 3).
The fact that the water has risen above the limit determined by programme of the dam raises a host of fears of potentially serious hazards such as causing damages to the basement construction of the dam, the possible collapse of it, causing water to overflow, causing land sliding of the parapet extending from the dam walls. Furthermore this incomprehensible increase has scared the local option Manasir and made them to believe that the government, as represented in the Dam Implementation Unit, might have targeted them with the aimed to compelling them to evacuate their homeland.
The Dam Implementation Unit (DIU) used to be under the authority of a technical ministry that is of Irrigation and Water Resources until it had been put under the direct authority of the Presidency in 1999. In 2007 the Presidential Decree No. 217 was issued upon which the small unit was promoted into a Presidential department responsible for the building of all dams in the Sudan, hence the Dam Implementation Unit (DIU). The DIU has been launched with an interim law of its own that immunes it from litigation and auditing. Since then dam-building has been politicized to the extent that a number of specialist and experts feared that this might have compromised the professionalism and technicality of the subject matter of dam building.
Hereby we raise the concern, asking the government to make the information pertaining to the operating programme of the Mirwi dam a public knowledge rather than keeping it as classified information. If the dam is running according to an operating programme other than the mentioned below, we urgently demand the government to publicize it. If it is not running according to its determined operating programme, we strongly demand the government to declare this serious matter and to raise high the alarm and take the preventive measures deemed necessary.
The proclamation included a chart that shows the operating Programme the dam was assumed to be working upon. It clearly shows how the dam is not following its rules of operation:
Month
Jan.
Feb.
March
April
May
June
July
Aug.
Sept.
Oct.
Nov.
Dec.
Water Level
299
297
294
292
292
290
290
290
295
300
300
300

Two days later, i.e. on 21/05/2009 the head department of dams in the ministry of Irrigation Water Resources announced that they (not the Dam Implementation Unit) were going to empty the Mirwi dam reservoir. This was strange as the dams since 1999 when they were referred to DIU were no longer under the responsibility of the ministry. This was taken as an indication of the conflicts going inside the government with regard to the professionalism with which the Mirwi dam was managed. This seeming victory gave boost to the cooperation between the anti dam people committees. The idea of promoting this cooperation into a coordinated political action is quite predictable.

The equitable, peaceful driving for peace
The drive is indeed present as the people affected by dams have persistently shown in their correspondences to the government that they do not look for troubles. However, it is wishful thinking to expect such solutions while the NCP regime is on hold of the state. It is so difficult to reason with the hawks and ruling clique in the NCP. This means to rethink the Demographic Engineering policy, which in turn means that to visit the whole policies of the government. Such a step may be beyond the capacity of the system as it is being driven by a momentum that it cannot stop.

Investors: Arab and Chinese
The Arab states are as stubborn as the Khartoum regime, especially when it comes to issues of Africanism vs. Arabism. Their stubborn denial of having any crimes against humanity committed in Darfur proved this. They will not back off from supporting the present regime of Khartoum as far as the crisis is made to look like the Islamo-Arab identity of the Sudan is at stake.
The Chinese government will not jeopardize its business with the USA and Europe so as to help the NCP regime. The investment of China in the Sudan is dramatically small to its business with the USA and Europe. The Chinese government will keep low profile hoping to maintain the same status quo in case of any regime change.

The alliance of marginalized people of the New Sudan
The ideological discourse of New Sudan initiated by the late John Garang has succeeded in raising the awareness of Africanism among marginalized people of the Sudan. The movement of SPLM/SPLA has been a model to follow by marginalized people of Darfur (cf. SLA). Contacts have already been made by the Nubian organizations and the rebels of Darfur. In the referendum of 2011 Southern Sudan will vote for independence. Other mutinous parts of the Sudan will take Southern Sudan as a launch platform for their military incursions against the central government of Khartoum so as to gain independence or to liberate the Sudan in the same fashion propagated by John Garang. This will be enhanced further if the various Dam-affected groups have managed to come under one unifying banner. The fact that they are all from northern Sudan is a factor that may give them a sense of regional unity.

d.Three Scenarios

Unity of Dam-affected People
By now there are 5 anti dam people committees (namely of Dal, Kajbar, hamdab, Amri, and the Manasir) and 3 more preparatory anti dam people committees (Mugrat, Dagash, and al-Shireik). The people to be affected by the Sabalouga dam have not been drawn into this yest. At any moment they may join, especially when practical steps are taken towards implementing the dam. When such steps were taken in April and may 2009 with regard to al-Shrireik dam, the people immediately started forming their anti dam committee. In doing this they sought advice and support from other anti dam committees which was readily rendered. This also happen with the people to be affected by both Mugrat and Dagash dams.
In the period of April-May 2009, the water level was 304-7. The people panicked as rumours were telling that the other gates of the dam are blocked. The rumours was based on the technical opinion that the filling of the lake in one flood season was against the rules that recommend that the filling to take place in at least 3 years time and gradually and not during the flood season. The Dam Implementation Unit (DIU) closed the gates on 26/7/2008 and by 26/9/2008 the lake reached the contour of 300. This has caused the sediment to settle right on the closed gates. Only two gates were open which had been operated to generate power for very short time in April but came to an abrupt stop due to breakdown of the turbine[140].
Now with the advent of the season of flood, the Manasir look at the coming days with apprehension and anxiety. No one knows for sure what kind of operating programme the dam is flowing as the DIU has not announced any thing about this subject. The government of the River Nile State failed to provide Yahiya Abdul Majid with the operating programme of the dam as it could not get it itself from the DIU[141]. This dire situation has prompted the Kajbar Anti Dam Committee to call upon all anti dam bodies to meet so as to discuss the situation of the Manasir and other groups living downstream from the dam. Upon meeting on mid May 2009 a unified body emerged which mounted a campaign to raise awareness about the ominous consequences of not having the Merowe dam working according to its operating programme. On 18/5/2009 they organized a press conference in Khartoum where they called upon the government, the political and civic societies and the international community to pay attention to the situation of rising water at Merowe dam reservoir. On  20/5/2009 the Director-General of  Dams and Nile Control in the Ministry of Irrigation and Water Resources (karuri al-Haj Hamad), rather than the DIU, announced that the ministery had started emptying the Merowe dam reservoir[142]. This was interpreted by the anti dam committees as a direct result of the call they made just 2 days ago.
War                                                                                                                                          
The dam affected people get very agitated by the government policies which lack transparency and seem to play tricks on them with so many promises dishonoured. In Shiri Island, in the Manasir region, the people became so furious and frustrated that they set fire on the office set up by the DIU and attacked the IDU representative in 2007. They also attacked the Resettlement Commissioner and a high rank Police officer hurting both of them physically and verbally when they paid the Island a visit in 2007. At that same time, a Manasir man, a senior retired army officer, in Birti area attacked verbally Prof. Ibrahim Ahmad Omar, the Secretary-General of the National Congress Party (the ruling party) accusing him of deceiving the people and calling him a liar. The former President of the Manasir Executive Committee, Osman al-Magdum, lambasted the Governor of River Nile State, Ghulam al-Din, calling him a liar in an official meeting in 2006. On 21 May 2009, the Governor of the River Nile State, Ahmad al-Majzub, paid an official visit to the area of al-Shireik where he was supposed to give a public speech to the people concerning the dam that was going to be built there. The people received him with angry shouts and did not allow him to address them. A precautious move from the Police to secure the safety of the Governor made them even more furious and prompted them to attack the Governor, smashing his car and chasing him out of the area. At this particular incident a senior Police officer was reported to have been seriously hurt (cf. the Youtube video of the incident[143]). This volatile situation can lead to clashes between the dam-affected people and the government that can eventually break in a civil war. The Manasir had already had a small limited armed movement that was stationed in Eritrea lead by the veteran anti dam activist Ali Askuri; they returned home, putting down arms, following the peace agreement of Niavacha in 2005[144].
The Nubians have already organized themselves politically and militarily with the latter not active yet. They have put clearly that they will take to arms so as to resist the building of Dal and Kajbar dams. At least two of their political organizations have publicly pledged to take to arms the moment the government start building any of the two dam. In 2004 they submitted a memo to Kofi Annan, the then Secretary General of the UN[145] arguing that the building of these dams will eventually disrupt the Nubian society of Northern Sudan and Southern Egypt. They further argued that the Nubians constitute the only ethnic group with an African tongue on the Nile from Kosti (up the White Nile) and Sinnar (up the Blue Nile) down to the Mediterranean Sea. This sets the scene of the problem as a conflict Africanism vs. Arabism.
Other Arab ethnic groups of northern Sudan will join the civil war. The dam-building in northern Sudan is characterized by lack of transparency. The Khartoum government is ready to use un-proportionate force to evict the people forcibly. When exhausting civilian means of resistance these Manasir and Ja’aliyyin ethnic groups will take to arms. It will become a matter of time for all the people affected by these dams to unite their forces Nubian and Ja’aliyyin as well. With the writ against President al-Bashir already issued and the possibility of the Sudan disintegrating in the same fashion dictated by Hamdi’s Triangle, it is quite possible to have a military movement fighting for an independent state in northern Sudan.
Limited government driven violence
This is a far-fetched possibility as experiences have systematically shown that the Khartoum government is so tenacious and dogged in following its own track of reasoning and policies without heeding what other regional and international forces might think. The principal aim of the government of Khartoum seems to be to create a new situation on the ground that is not going to be reversed in whatever case- just as has happened in Darfur. At the same time the status quo of deterioration of normal peaceful situations seems to be taking place by default due to the Islamist and Arabist nature of the regime. The moment National Congress Party (NCP) of Khartoum starts a war in some part of the country it no more becomes in its capacity to either contain it or stop it.
This depends on the possibility that it dies out from the government and consequently from the people. However, this is also far-fetched possibility. At the inauguration of Merowe (Mirwi) dam on 3/3/2209, just a day, before the writ issue is declared by the ICC, the official slogan was that: “the dam is our reply to Ocampo” which was by the President himself. Every time and then, he was heard shouting in his rhetoric public addresses that their reply to Ocampo and the ICC will be to build more dams[146].


V.        CONCLUSION
With the disintegration of the Sudan looming, the Khartoum government adopted a policy for concentrating spending public funds in an area that comprises the middle Sudan h (the Axis of Kordufan-Dungula-Sennar) hence known as Hamdi’s Triangle; areas of predominant African ethnic groups outside this triangle were to be Arabized by a new population injection from neighbouring countries (from Chad in the case of Darfur; from Egypt in the case of northern Sudanese Nubia; from local Arab tribes in the case of Nuba Mountains). This is the policy that has so far merited the name of “Demographic Engineering”.
In the last five years the government of the Sudan announced that it is planning to build at least 6 dams on the River Nile downstream from Khartoum upon which the flooded areas will be evacuated in the same way that took place in the case of Aswan High Dam. The governments of both the Sudan and Egypt have openly announced endorsing plans aimed to bring in millions of Egyptian peasants to settle in the areas evacuated by the Sudanese groups in specific the Nubian region. Egyptian government has been engaged in a similar plan in its own Nubian region. The people of northern Sudan, specially the Nubians, affected by the dams have started resisting this by civilian means and will eventually take to rebellion as they have established their ethnic political and military organization. These organizations have already made contacts with the Darfur military movements to orchestrate efforts of resistance. The Egyptian Nubians have declared their alliance with their brethren in the Sudan. A civil war in northern Sudan and southern Egypt lead by a coalition of the Nubians and other Arab people of the region also affected by dams and the military movements of Darfur will destabilize the region more than ever. The northern Sudan problem will very quickly develop from a national affair to a regional affair and then into an international crisis. As Egyptian Nubians will join their brethren across the border, Egypt will eventually be drawn into this civil war at its borders with the Sudan. Under the pretext of containing the situation and crushing the rebellion of its own Nubians, Egypt is expected to invade northern Sudan, particularly the Nubian region, with the real intent to grab new lands, chase away the Nubians, rebel or non rebel alike, and to implement the plans of settlement of its millions of peasants. However, the moment this war goes off with both Sudanese and Egyptian Nubians getting united with other dam-affected Arab groups of northern Sudan, nothing less than an independent Nubian-Arab state will satisfy the rebels.




[1] Cf. Abdul Rahīm Hamdi (Former Minister of Finance). 2005. Al-waraqa al-iqtisādiyya li’l-mu’tamar al-watani al-hākim bi’l-Sudan [The Economic Paper for the National Congress, the ruling Party in the Sudan]. In this document, he draws a triangle that he calls “the axis of Dungula, Sinnāar, and Kurdufān” (mihwar Dungula, Sennār, Kurdufān), P. 2, which comprises the traditional middle-north. In this document the ruling party clearly addresses the problem of restricting the public funding in this area as a precaution step toward the separation of southern Sudan, Darfur and other areas in order to forbid non-Arab groups from having the upper hand in running the country as “the countries of the belt partitioning Islam from Sub-Sahara have done (such as Ethiopia, Senegal, passing to Niger)”. It reads: “What is required at the present relates to how to keep the identity of the nation [Islam and Arabism] rather than to how to keep the structure of the state”.
[2] Cf. Hashim, M.J. 2006. Islamization and Arabization of Africans as a Means to Political Power in the Sudan: Contradictions of Discrimination based on the Blackness of Skin and Stigma of Slavery and their Contribution to the Civil Wars. In: Bankie, B.F. & Mchombu, K. (ed). 2006. Pan-Africanism: Strengthening the Unity of Africa and its Diaspora. Windhoek: Gamsberg Macmillan.
[3] Cf. Hashim, M.J. 2008. The Dam Building in Northern Sudan: is it a Tool for the Resettlement of Millions of Egyptian Peasants? Is it a New Darfur Scenario in the Making? BPP School of Law, London. 24.9.2008. In Arabic Online:
[4] Ibid.

[5] Hashim, M.J. 2007. The Policies of De-Nubianization in Egypt and Sudan: an Ancient People on the Brink of Extinction. Tinabuntu. Journal of the Centre for Advanced Studies of African Society (CASAS), South Africa. Volume I, No. I 2007. Presented at the International Reparation Conference. Conference Theme: Transformation, Reparation Repatriation and Reconciliation. Ghana, West Africa, Accra July 21-1 August 2006.
[6] Cf. Hashim, M.J. 2008. The Dam Building in Northern Sudan: is it a Tool for the Resettlement of Millions of Egyptian Peasants? Op. Cit.
[7] Not more than 14 million fedans; Sudan has more than 220 Million fedans.
[8] Al-Ayyam Newspaper, 2-3/8/2009.
[9] Izz al-Din Hamid, cfal-Rai al-Am Newspaper, 18/4/2004, P. 3.
[10] Al-Rai al-am Newspaper, No. 2351, 8/2/2005.
[11] . Fikri Abul Qasim, “Nadwat al-miyāh wa ‛uzlat al-safīr” [The Symposium on Water and the Isolation of the Ambassador], Eilaf Newspaper, 10/09/2007,
[12] Al-Sahafa Neswpaper, 16/04/2008.
[13] Al-Sahafa Newpaper, 31/03/2004, No. 3892.
[16] Cf. Al-Toum Ibrahim al-Niteifa, al-tufayliyiin yuqaddimuun al-ard majjaanan lil-mustathmiriin al-ajaanib [The Parasitics offer Lands Free for the Foreign Investors], Al-Maidan Newspaper, 18/9/2007.
[17] AOAD. 1983. Dirasa istita’iyya gi lil-mawarid wal’istithmar al-zira’I fil-iqlimayn al-sharqi wal’shimali fi’jamhuriyyat al-Sudan al-dimuqratiyya [A Pilot Study about the Agricultural Resources and Investment in the East and North Regions in the Democratic Republic if the Sudan]. Khartoum.
[18] AOAD. 1990. Tahdith dirāsat al-tawassu’ al-‘ufuqi wal-ra’si fī zirā’at al-qamih bil-iqlim al-shimāli fī jamhūriyyat al-Sudan [The Updating of the Studies for the Horizontal and Vertical Cultivation of Wheat in the Northern Region of the Sudan]. Khartoum.
[19] Fernea & Rouchdy. 1991. Contemporary Egyptian Nubians, Epilogue, Part III. In: Frnea, E.W., Fernea, R. & Rouchdy, A. (ed). Nubian Ethnographies. Prospect Heights. Illinois: Waveland Press.
[20] For fishery, cf. Lassaily-Jacob, V. 1990. Village Resettlement in Lower Nubia, Egypt: the Modification of a Development Project through Case Study. Unpublished. Paris; for agriculture, cf. Fernea & Rouchdy, Op Cit.
[21] Al-Wafd Newspaper, 18/05/2006.
[22] Al-Ahram Newspaper, 11/06/2006.
[23] Rajab al-Murshidi in Rousa al Yousef Newspaper: www.rosaonline.net .
[24] Roudart, L. 2000/1. Microeconomic analysis of the liberalization of the rent price on agricultural incomes. In: Land Reform: Land Settlement & Cooperatives. Part II. No. 2000/1. FAO. Online:
[25] Based on: Hashim, M.J. 2007. Risālat Kajbār: min ajl al-Sudan, lā min ajl qarya [Yhe Message of Kajbar: for the Sake of the Sudan, not for the Sake of a Village]. Online:
And: Cf. Hashim, M.J. Forthcoming. Limāza narfud hāzihi al-sudūd wa mā hiya badā’iluna al-tanmawiyya? [Why do we oppose the building of these Dams and what are our Development Solutions?]. Khartoum.
[26] Al-Ayyam Newspaper, 16/2/2008.
[27] Ibid.
[28] Ajras al-huriyya Newspaper, 25/3/2009.
[29] Seif al-Din Hamad Abdalla. 2008. “al-qudra al-takhzīniyya l’il-sudūd ‛ala al-nīl wa rawāfidihī dākhil al-Sudan” [The Storage Capacity of the Dams on the Nile and its Tributaries in the Sudan], Workshop of the Middle East & African Studies Centre under the title: Towards a National Strategy of Water in the Sudan. Al-Zubeir Muhammad Salih Hall, Khartoum, 2/9/2007.
[30] Al-Khartoum Newspaper, 24/6/2008.
[31] Al-Masri alyoum Newspaper [The Egyptian Today], 22/3/2008.
[32] Seif al-Din Abdalla, op cit.
[33] ibid.
[35] Oosterbaan, R.J. 1999. Impacts of the Irrigation Improvement Project, Egypt. Part 2 of 3: Technical Information, ILRI, Wageningen, The Netherlands, online: http://www.waterlog.info/.
[36] Cf. Hashim, M.J. Forthcoming. Limāza narfud hāzihi al-sudūd wa mā hiya badā’iluna al-tanmawiyya? [Why do we oppose the building of these Dams and what are our Development Solutions?]. Khartoum.
[39] Cf. The Nile River State, the Commission of the Mirwi Dam affected People, January 2007, Khadamāt istishāriyya li-dirāt khiyārāt al-Manāsīr li’l-tawtīn hawl buhayrat marawī: al-taqrīr al-mabda’ī [Consultative Services for the Study of the Manasir Option to settle arount the lake of Merowe: the Preliminary Report], prepared by YAM for Development & Consultation Co. P. 3
[42] Cf. Jim Giles. 2006. A wave of Chinese-built dams in Africa, particularly the Merowe project in Sudan, could have devastating consequences for local communities. Nature 440, 393-394 (23 March 2006), doi:10.1038/440393a; Published online 22 March 2006: http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v440/n7083/full/440393a.html
[44] Cf. United Nations Environment Programme, Sudan Post-Conflict Environmental Assessment: Freshwater resource. Online: http://postconflict.unep.ch/publicat...ynthesis_A.pdf.
[46] Environmental Assessment Report for the Merowe Dam Project, 2002: 13.
[47] Ibid. PP. 3-4.
[48]  Ibid, PP. 3-5.
[49]  Ibid. PP. 3 – 5.
[50] Wuhdat tanfīz al-sudūd, ri’āsat al-jamhūriyya [Dam Implementation Unit (The Presidency)]. March 2008. mashrū‛ sadd Kajbar: ma‛lūmāt muwjaza: mashrū‛ i‛ādat binā’ al-ḥadāra bi-i‛ādat al-tawṭīn [The Project of Kajbar Dam: an Informative Summary: the Project of re-building Civilization through Re-Settlement], to be referred to as “Informative Summary”.
[51] “Dam could provoke water wars”, News from Africa, January 2002.
[53] Cf. Edward, D & Osman, A. 1992. The Mahas Survey, 1991: Interim Report & Site Inventory. Khartoum: University of Khartoum; Edward, D & Osman, A. 1994. The Mahas Survey, 1990: Interim Report & Site Inventory: Khartoum: University of Khartoum; Osman, A. & Edward, D. 2002. The Mahas Survey, 2000: a Preliminary Report. Khartoum: University of Khartoum.
[54] Principal Features of Projects in Sudan (Nile Waters Study 1978, Acres 1993, PB Power 2006.
[55] Cf. Consultancy Services for Eastern Nile Technical Power Trade Investment Program Study, Khartoum, 2006.
[56] Wuhdat tanfīz al-sudūd, ri’āsat al-jamhūriyya [Dam Implementation Unit (The Presidency)]. March 2008. mashrū‛ sadd Kajbar: ma‛lūmāt muwjaza: mashrū‛ i‛ādat binā’ al-ḥadāra bi-i‛ādat al-tawṭīn [The Project of Kajbar Dam: an Informative Summary: the Project of re-building Civilization through Re-Settlement], referred to above as “Informative Summary”.
[57] Al-Sha’b Newspaper, 14/11/2006, also available online: http://www.alshaab.com/news.php?i=2102.
[60] Cf. the Republic of Sudan, the Presidence of the Republic, Dams Implementation Unit. 2007. Prefeasibility & Feasibility Studies of Dal Hydroproject. Task 2 & 3. Social Impact Assessment Study: Fieldworks Guidebook and Questionnaires. Prepared by: EDF Generation & Engineering Division. December 20, 2007.
[61] An interview on 9th December 2008.
[62] Personal communication, 12.3.2009.
[63] Ibid.
[64] Ibid.
[65] For the importance of these sites, cf. Welsby, Derek A. & Anderson, Julie R. (ed.). 2004. Sudan: Ancient Treasures. London: the British Museum.
[66] Op. cit.
[67] Ibid.
[68] Ibid.
[69] Op cit.
[70] Cf. Abdullahi Ali Ibrahim, 1994, Assaulting with Words: Popular Discourse and the Bridle of Shari'ah: Islam and Society in Africa Series, Northwestern University.
[71] Cf. Ibrahim, A.M. 1984. The Nile Description, Hydrology, Control and Utilisation, PP. 1-13. in: Dumont, H.J., el Mogrhraby, A.I. & Desougi, L.A. (ed). 1984. Limnology and Marine Biology in the Sudan. The Hague, Boston, Lancaster: Dr W. Junk Publishers.
[72] Ri’āsat al-jamhūriyya. Wuḥdat tanfīz al-sudūd. Al-idāra al-‛āma lil-shu’ūn al-’idāriyya wal-māliyya. December 2007. dirāsa ‛an manṭiqat sadd Mugrāt, i‛dāt maktab al-mutāba‛a, Atbara [The Presidency of Sudan, Dam Implementation Unit, the Public Administration of Administrative and Financial Affairs. December 2007. Study of the Area of Mugrat Dam, prepared by the Atbara-based Follow-up Office], to be called “Mugrat Dam Study”.
[73] Interviews with some of the fieldworkers and people in Mugrat area, December, 2008.
[76] Cf. Ibrahim, A.M. 1984, op cit.
[79] Ri’āsat al-jamhūriyya. Wuḥdat tanfīz al-sudūd. Al-idāra al-‛āma lil-shu’ūn al-’idāriyya wal-māliyya. December 2007. dirāsa ‛an manṭiqat sadd Dagash, i‛dāt maktab al-mutāba‛a, Atbara [The Presidency of Sudan, Dam Implementation Unit, the Public Administration of Administrative and Financial Affairs. December 2007. Study of the Area of Dagash Dam, prepared by the Atbara-based Follow-up Office], to be called “Dagash Dam Study”.
[81] Source: Dagash Dam Study, 2007.
[82] Cf. Ibrahim, A.M. 1984, op. cit.
[83] Dr. Abdul Sami‛ Haidar, a medical dentist.
[84] Cf. Abdul Sami‛ Haidar, 2007, Sadd al-Shireik: mulakhkhaṣ tārīkhī [the Shireik Dam: a Historical Summary].
[86] Cf. Acres International. 1997. Long Term Power System Planning Study.
[87] Cf. Rābitat ’abnā’ Futwār, sadd al-Shireik, 14/10/2007 [the Association of the People of Futwār Island, al-Shireik Dam].
[88]  Ibid.
[89] Cf. Ibrahim, A.M. 1984, op. cit.
[90] Ri’āsat al-jamhūriyya. Wuhdat tanfīz al-sudūd. Al-idāra al-‛āma lil-shu’ūn al-’idāriyya wal-māliyya. December 2007. dirāsa ‛an al-mantiqat al-muta’aththira bi-qiyā sadd al-Shabalouga. i‛dāt maktaba‛a, al-Sabalouga [The Presidency of Sudan, Dam Implementation Unit, the Public Administration of Administrative and Financial Affairs. December 2007. Study of the affected  Area of Sabalouga Dam, prepared by the al-Sabalouga-based Follow-up Office, to be called “al-Sabalouga Dam Study”.
[91]  Ibid.

[92] Cf. Rābitat ’abnā’ Futwār, sadd al-Shireik, 14/10/2007 [the Association of the People of Futwār Island, al-Shireik Dam].
[93]  Ibid.
[95] Cf. Prof. Ja’far Ahmad al-Zargani, “Sadd Merwoe: li-man tuqra’ al-‘ajrās?” [The Merowe Dam: for whom the Bells toll?], al-ayyam Newspaper, 16/5/2007 where he raised fears of the dam suffering from cracks at its base wall.
[96] Cf. Al-Wifaq Newspaper, 30/4/2008.
[97] By googling either ‘Amri’ or ‘Mnasir’), cf.  http://uk.youtube.com/watch?v=B1it_0SSa4k&feature=related.
[98] Cf. The Council of the Merowe Dam-Affected People- the Manasir, 2003. Al-matālib al-‛ādila fī al-ta‛wd wa i‛ādat al-tawtīn [The Just Demands in Compensation and Resettlement], to be referred to as “the Just Demands”.
[99]Ibid. P. 13.
[100] Bearing the serial number: و ن ن/أ ع/20/أ/1.
[101] Interview with leading members of the Manasir Committee, 21/12/2008.
[102] No. 70, Year 2006.
[103] No. 37, 7/5/2006.
[104] No. 38, 7/5/2006.
[105] No. 39, 7/5/2006.
[106] Al-Sudani Newspaper, 10/5/2007.
[107] Cf. Akhbar al-yawm Newspaper, 18/6/2007.
[109] Cf. Al-Ayyam Newspaper; Al-Sahafa Newspaper, 16/4/2008.
[110] Cf. Ajras al-hurriyya Newspaper, 4/2008.
[111] Cf. United Nations Mission in Sudan, the Human Rights Unit “CONFIDENTIAL- NOT FOR CIRCULATION”, Large-scale Evictions in Merwoe Dam Area: Findings of UNMIS Mission to Manasir, 29-30 October 2008, 12 December 2008.
[112] Cf. Akhar lahza Newspaper, 27/1/2009.
[113] Op. cit.
[114] Bearing the following serial number in Arabic: ق ج/ م ت/1/1/؛ مكرر: 1/ز/1/7, dated 18/2/2009.
[115] Cf. Al-Sahafa Newspaper, 14/2/2008.
[116] The Government of the Northern State, “An Important Release”, 18/8/2008.
[117] Cf. Al-Sahafa Newspaper, 20/8/2008.
[118] Cf. Al-Midan Newspaper, 2/9/2008.
[119] Cf. Al-sahafa Newspaper, 16/1/2009.
[120] al-Masri alyoum Newspaper [the Egyptian Today], 3/4/2008.
[122] Al-Sahafa Newspaper,
[123] Op. cit, 26/5/2008.
[124] Ibidt, ANNEX 6.
[125] Cf. Figure 8. The Figure numbered 8 in ANNEX 8 is entitled ‘Northern Sudan – Archaeology’, which is not included itself in the study. This shows how flawed this study is.
[126] Ajras al-huriyya Newspaper, 4/3/2009.
[129] Interviews with members of the Manasir Committee, 16/5/2007.
[130] Interview with Ali Askuri, 10/10/2008 in Khartoum.
[131] For more details of the incident, see:  http://www.sudantribune.com/article.php3?id_article=15235.
[136] Cf. Al-Sudani Newspaper, 24/6/2007, Issue No. 575.
[137] Al-Sadig al-Mahdi, 2000, Miyāh al-nīl: al-wa‛d w’al-wa‛īd (The Nile Water: the Expectations and the Menaces), Cairo: Ahram Translation and Publishing Unit.
[138] Cf. Al-Wasit Newspaper, 29/11/2007.
[139] Cf. “A National, Regional and International Proclamation to obviate the Ominous Hazards of Mirwi Dam”,  issued in Khartoum by The Political Corporation for Crisis Management, the People Committee for resisting Kajbar Dam, the Nubian Corporation for Development and the Resistance of Dal Dam, the Executive Committee of Manasir People affected by Mirwi Dam, the Executive Committee of Amri People affected by Mirwi Dam, the Provisional Committee for resisting Mugrat Dam, the Provisional Committee for resisting Dagash Dam, the Provisional Committee for resisting al-Shireik Dam on 18/05/2009
[140] According to claims made by informed people interviewed by the present writer  who did not want their names disclosed.
[141] The River Nile Governor, the Manasir Resettlement Commission, op.cit. P. 20.
[142] Al-Sahafa Newspaper, No. 5710, 20 May 2009.
[144] Interviews with members of the Movement of Insaf al-Muhajjarin (the Movement of Justice for the Resettled People) in 2008-9, in Khartoum.
[145] Cf. Hashim, M.J. 2008. Islamization and Arabization of Africans as a Means to Political Power in the Sudan: Contradictions of Discrimination based on the Blackness of Skin and Stigma of Slavery and their Contribution to the Civil Wars. In: Bankie, B.F & Mchombu, K. 2008. Pan-Africanism, African Nationalism: Stregthening the Unity of Africa and its Diaspora. Asmara: the Red Sea Press, Inc. 251-265.
[146] Cf. Ajras al-huriya Newspaper, 4/3/2009.